Figuring out Equity in specific situations

[androidMetro]

I need help figuring out if this is a profitable play.

Flop: Hero checks, MP bets 1.50, LP calls, Hero checkraises all-in for $11.00.
Here's the specific info:
-assume LP will always fold.
-MP folds 30% of the time (I win the pot=$4.50)

-MP calls 70% of the time
----He wins 75% of the time (I lose $11.00)
----He loses 25% of the time (I win the pot $24.00, profit $13.00)


As you can see I was a short stack in this situation. I would really like to know how to figure out the math here.

I appreciate any advice.