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Old 08-02-2007, 10:34 AM
chh chh is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 297
Default Re: $75 TURBO MTT

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this cant possible be a fold, we have only 2 more hands before we're in the BB again. I'm not saying it's +cEV, but it's a risk we *have* to take here

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i don't understand your argument, if it is not +EV it's a bad move. you have 9BB and a M of about 4, this means you are looking for spot to move in.
lower M means your opening requirements go down because the blinds get larger compared to your stack.
it doesn't mean that you should move your chips in in -EV situations.
if you pass the blinds and are in the same situation next orbit this becomes a clear push - cause your M is down to 3.

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well, with a very low M, like here, you can't just wait for huge +ev situations, because you're actually LOSING EV BY WAITING and a +ev situation might never come.
you're not looking for a definite +ev situation, you're looking to increase your stack to a point where you can actually play real poker again.
Besides, ppl will probably call pretty tightly here since your stack can still hurt most of them. However, as stated above, your fold equity will go way down after you pay another round of blinds
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