*** Official August - October Chatter Thread ***

[Schwatt]

How often do you guys middle your early week bets? I am sitting here on Thurs, looking at about 4-5 2+ point middles I could go for. It will reduce my variance, but also kind of "ruins" what looks like a good bet from earlier in the week.

[Thremp]

Schwatt,

You can calc whether you should from Kelly Criterion.

In all likelihood if you can lineshop around and can get a vigfree price.. You should hedge atleast some if not all.

[B00T]

take into consideration what numbers you have middles on,, if these are total numbers that are crap, it wouldnt matter too much in the long run

[Thremp]

[ QUOTE ]
take into consideration what numbers you have middles on,, if these are total numbers that are crap, it wouldnt matter too much in the long run

[/ QUOTE ]

Most of the reason to take the hedges are so that your median bankroll is higher than it'd be now. It reduces your exposure. Optimally you'll likely only hedge a portion.

[iggymcfly]

Just saw that the team totals at TheGreek are 15 cent lines. Yuck. I miss Pinny sometimes, although I will say that I'm getting to like Matchbook a lot.

[Schwatt]

Thanks for the replies guys.

I obviously won't middle things like -14.5 to +15.5 and the like.

I obviously will take the vig-free middles even when they land on garbage numbers.

My main question is should I middle stuff like -16.5 @ -110 and +17.5 @ -110? Is this standard to pay 10 cents vig to hit a common number? If this is okay, what is too much vig?

The numbers I am always looking for are 3,7,10,14,17,20,21,24 etc.

Thanks again.

[dankhank]

brag: i've won the same cake poker rebuy tourney twice in last ten days for 6.3k and 5.2k respectively.

beat: ncaa football is only two days away

variance: maybe i won't bet many games this time

[MyTurn2Raise]

best sportsbetting thread ever
just wanted to say that and not ruin the perfect responses that have been given thus far

[MyTurn2Raise]

/rul....i must be tired

[Performify]