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| View Poll Results: Who should I replace Ronnie Brown with? | |||
| DeAngelo Williams |
   
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5 | 41.67% |
| Brandon Jacobs |
  
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4 | 33.33% |
| Samkon Gado |
  
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0 | 0% |
| Sammy Morris |
  
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3 | 25.00% |
| Voters: 12. You may not vote on this poll | |||
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#1
11-29-2007, 03:31 PM
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Re: A rag or 98o?
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First of all, too many nits play tight and get blinded away waiting for big pairs, until their M is less than 5 and they jam the first ace-x they see. [/ QUOTE ] No they really won't, nits are generally winners you know? Just not maximizing their profits, perhaps you are thinking of another term. Jimbo 
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#2
11-29-2007, 04:09 PM
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Re: A rag or 98o?
dim wits?
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#4
11-29-2007, 06:37 PM
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Re: A rag or 98o?
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But let’s look at a more reasonable calling range, assume stacks are more even. Drop all face cards other than pairs 55+ and Ace – 10. Without more info, can’t assume jt-kq is standard calling ranges late in a tournament. 98s, 87s, 76s, 98o, 87o, 76o drops to 31.999% BUT A2 – A7 drop to 27.967%, a 14% fall off We are splitting hairs and can run a million scenarios, but your sanctimonious opinion that ace rag is a much better doesn’t pass muster. [/ QUOTE ] There are all kinds of problems with your work here. Instead of being so hardheaded, take a second to consider what the other posters are trying to help you with. First, your ranges aren't very realistic. In high blind spots some of those hands you eliminated from their range are going to be reasonable if not easy calls in a lot of situations. You think a short or large stack can't call a shortstack's shove with KQ? Second, you haven't accounted for the fact that if you tighten your opponent's calling range, they aren't calling you as often (which means that you're picking up more pots uncontested). So, while they may have much more equity when they do call you, that will occur a smaller percentage of the time. I mean you could make their calling range AA only if you wanted to, and you'll be crushed when they call, but that will be so infrequently it will be rediculously +EV to push any ace against them. In fact, HU with an M of 5 you could push any 2. Again, the j/f tables are a good start, and if you want to do some range calcs try out SNGPT, which is decent if you can estimate calling ranges and are up against several opponents. Just Pokerstoving range vs. range doesn't account for how often your opponent(s) will fold, and FE is pretty much the dominant consideration here.
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