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#1
10-10-2007, 08:17 AM
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Re: Doing well in multiple B&Ms; Poor in one
[ QUOTE ]
sample size isn't the issue here. [/ QUOTE ] Live, its always an issue. 30 hands an hour, and you are dividing your time between 4 venues? Do some math and let me know when you've got 100 K at that casino. I suppose you could start the wondering at 10k, but the answer would still be "most likely variance." In the meantime, look for obvious explanations --better opponents, larger rake, etc. I would take a look at some of the threads here about winrate and the "long run"; I suspect from your post you have some incorrect assumptions. 
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#2
10-10-2007, 11:37 AM
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Re: Doing well in multiple B&Ms; Poor in one
Maybe sample size is more of an issue than I thought, though I'm between 30 and 40K hands for the place in question.
As for the poster who asked when the money goes in, it typically is in either pre-flop or on the flop. The problem is it is mostly against bad players who are already shortstacked from previous hands, and if I have, for example, AK, and the flop comes A J 6 rainbow, and a guy to act in front of me goes all in for about 1/2 - 2/3 the size of the pot, I'm calling there every time. This type of scenario happens a lot at this place (players are always shortstacked and then min-rebuying), and more times than not, they have hands like J 9, and turn or river a 9. Over the course of a session (only 2 or 3 times), I'm down at least one buy in. This type of thing happens significantly less at the other places, which makes me think it's the players. If there is some sort of adjustment I'm not making for this kind of play, I'd love to know about it. Because the only thing I can see to do differently would be to fold to their all in bets when I know I have the best of it. In the meantime, I'll check the other threads on winrate, etc, as suggested by the last poster to see if there is anything I'm missing.
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#3
10-10-2007, 04:59 AM
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Re: Doing well in multiple B&Ms; Poor in one
Based on your posts here you're running good at three locations.
-Michael
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#4
10-11-2007, 03:28 PM
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Re: Doing well in multiple B&Ms; Poor in one
In "Ace on the River" Barry Greenstein suggests staying away from the place you do poorly in. It may be superstition. But if it's in your head, it's real. And it will cost you money.
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#6
10-12-2007, 03:13 PM
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Re: Doing well in multiple B&Ms; Poor in one
I doubt it's psychological (even though it's possible.) Having said that, there's a question that has 3 answers.
A friend is flipping a coin and it comes up heads 5 times in a row. What do you bet on next, heads, tails, or doesn't matter? People who don't know much about math answer "tails". People who have learned about probability answer "it doesn't matter". Experienced gamblers answer "heads". They know that if it doesn't matter then heads is as good as tails. They know tails are not "due". But they also know that there might be some reason heads are favored somehow. Point being, there's no reason to keep playing at that casino, unless there's some reason you haven't mentioned. But it's probably variance and/or not playing the best strategy against the players there, who play differently than at the other places.
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Hybrid Mode
