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#1
10-24-2007, 05:15 AM
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10-20 How good/bad is this bluff?
10-10-20 Full ring live. New table, ~15 hands in, never played with any of them before. Effective stack is my ~$2K. I thought villain was a solid, tight player.
UTG+1 limps/opens for 40, Hero in Hijack raises to 120 with AKo, Villain in BB calls, UTG+1 folds, heads up. Flop ($300) 962r Villain checks, I bet $200, Villain calls. Turn ($700) Q rainbow, Villain checks I check. River ($700) J board is QJ962r Villain bets out $400, Hero pushes for about $1200 more. Comments? 
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#2
10-24-2007, 05:51 AM
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Re: 10-20 How good/bad is this bluff?
bad. what are you representing? from villain's perspective your line looks like classic "nuts or nothing": you basically either have a set or air, if he's a solid player as you say he should be able to figure this out. getting better than 2-to-1 i'd look you up with any pair.
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#3
10-24-2007, 06:42 AM
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Re: 10-20 How good/bad is this bluff?
Its quite likely villain has spiked a set too in this hand, only hand that wouldn't and he would bet the river is KK or a whiffed 78s. Don't see much value betting TT or 88 on the river as villain against an unknown. But its live so he might fold 66 right?
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#4
10-24-2007, 10:55 AM
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Re: 10-20 How good/bad is this bluff?
He's not folding much after his c/c, c, then lead river line as a tight player getting 2-1, given that I do not like it much.
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#5
10-24-2007, 12:32 PM
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Re: 10-20 How good/bad is this bluff?
This is pretty bad. You're not repping anything and you know nothing about the villain that you're making this play at.
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#7
10-24-2007, 04:08 PM
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Re: 10-20 How good/bad is this bluff?
terrible. check the flop, if you are going to bet the flop bet the turn. easy fold on the river
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#8
10-24-2007, 05:43 PM
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Re: 10-20 How good/bad is this bluff?
Ok, thanks for the input. I'm relatively new to this level, I've recently moved up after killing lower level games for a little while.
[ QUOTE ] I thought villain was a solid, tight player. [/ QUOTE ] Fortunately, this read based on just looks was way off, and villain was a very poor player for these stakes, but in a weird aggro/illogical way, not in a calling station way. He said "ok you have a set of Queens" and folded and then said he had AJ. When I thought about it after my session I realized it was probably a stupid bluff and I got lucky.
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#9
10-25-2007, 08:39 AM
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Re: 10-20 How good/bad is this bluff?
Isn't this a reasonable representation of JJJ? Not saying I like the bluff just that I don't see how people can say we're not representing anything... I thought that was a pretty standard pot control kind of line after a call on such a dry flop.
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