Easy or tough spot with two pair

minwoo · #1 08-11-2007, 02:00 PM

This hand was played exact one hand before the one in question:

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $2 BB (4 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Button ($204.05)
SB ($82.60)
BB ($232.40)
Hero ($456.60)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
Hero raises to $7, Button calls $7, 2 folds.

Flop: ($17) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets $12, Button calls $12.

Turn: ($41) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets $30, Button calls $30.

River: ($101) K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero checks, Button checks.

Final Pot: $101

Results in white below: 
Hero has Ah 6h (one pair, sevens).
Button has Td Ts (two pair, tens and sevens).
Outcome: Button wins $101. 

On to the actual hand:

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $2 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

MP ($254.05)
Button ($81.60)
SB ($230.40)
BB ($115.10)
Hero ($407.60)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
Hero raises to $7, MP calls $7, 3 folds.

Flop: ($17) Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets $12, MP calls $12.

Turn: ($41) 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets $30, MP raises to $70, Hero...

Villain's stats at 17.8/11.7/1.4 over 100 hands.

Instapush right?

Unknown Soldier · #2 08-11-2007, 02:10 PM

nah you're toast here, muck em

[Phill] · #3 08-11-2007, 02:14 PM

Check/fold turn hand 1 btw.

Hand 2 fold. If he doesnt raise an overpair, what does he raise? Either he has insta-adjusted against you or he has you crushed. You being crushed is more likely.

ejay · #4 08-11-2007, 02:18 PM

[ QUOTE ]
nah you're toast here, muck em

[/ QUOTE ]

I agree, i think its a fold but i dont know if i would make this fold in the game. His most likely hand imo is JT. He would prolly rr AA/QQ- 99 is less likely do to you having one and I guess AQ is a possibility. The only hand that you are beating is a badly palyed AK, because i cant see this villan raising with anything worse

[Phill] · #5 08-11-2007, 02:20 PM

ejay,

Given the reads of hand 1, can we be sure villain would play AK remotely like this?

ejay · #6 08-11-2007, 02:22 PM

[ QUOTE ]
ejay,

Given the reads of hand 1, can we be sure villain would play AK remotely like this?

[/ QUOTE ]

probably not, but if he is thinking about calling thats the only thing that he MIGHT see that he is beating, i guess another hand would be A8 but i dont see a 17/11 playing that pf

dreamcircus · #7 08-11-2007, 02:25 PM

Check/fold turn hand 1 yep.

Hand 2 don't think is a clear fold. Hero playing identical to hand 1, doubt opponents get any read other than similar range. The reraise could've been a bluff. I think this is one of the rare occasions(for me anyway) where call/see river is best option. Any diamond, A/K/Q/J/10/9 could all severely scare the villain into not shoving if you just checked the river. Or if you bet out strong or shove, surely that's a better spot to do so than the turn "instapush" you suggested.

mertzo · #8 08-11-2007, 02:33 PM

Another important factor that imo is way to neglected, is that players tend not to bluff right after scooping in a big pot, especially not against the same villain.

dreamcircus · #9 08-11-2007, 02:41 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Another important factor that imo is way to neglected, is that players tend not to bluff right after scooping in a big pot, especially not against the same villain.

[/ QUOTE ]

depends on what stakes though..

mertzo · #10 08-11-2007, 02:43 PM

Yeah but this is NL200