HU mid pair vs big river bet

[b33nz]

notes on villain is that he is LAG. i didnt think he was a winning player at the time. last hand i just 3bet him. i believe he is very capable of playing nothing/FD like this.


Full Tilt Poker, $2/$4 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 2 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

SB: $430.50
Hero (BB): $445

Pre-Flop: 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BB)
<font color="red">SB raises to $12</font>, Hero calls $8

Flop: ($24) 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, SB checks

Turn: ($24) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $18</font>, <font color="red">SB raises to $67</font>, Hero calls $49

River: ($158) A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">SB bets $145</font>, Hero

[Eagles]

Man I hate this hand 3bt pf like always. A played I think Villain has Q so often here... I guess sometimes he has busted hearts but I think calling the turn raise or the river is terrible.

[hotbacon]

if he's bluffing then he's firing river like 100% so theres really no reason to call turn if you arent calling river.

that said i would fold turn bc people hardly bluff in this spot and a queen is v likely

[b33nz]

hotbacon, u think hes gonna bluff river on a brick?

[hotbacon]

if he's bluffing, then hes trying to rep the queen and its basically a guarantee that he's betting any river