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#21
11-22-2007, 07:49 PM
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Re: Top set on SOAKING wet board.
I drop to 23% equity, but the point is that I'm planning on felting my hand anyways...so it really doesn't matter.
[ QUOTE ] I'm also pretty sure this is wrong. [/ QUOTE ] Not sure why. What is he shoving over a flop 3-bet w/? Flushes/44/22...and he *might* even find a fold w/ 22 here. Unlikely, but still possible and I don't want to give him that chance. On the turn, he's pretty much forced to shove all his sets, and on top of that he might get frustrated w/ my line and shove over me w/ the bare A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]...which I don't think he's shoving flop w/ since it's pretty clear that he has zero FE. 
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#22
11-22-2007, 07:54 PM
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Re: Top set on SOAKING wet board.
I think you see a scare card that shuts down action from 44/22 more often than you lose 44/22 on the flop. (Just for example: Turn 3c. check/check. River Jh. check/check.) I also think you're more likely to get a 4-bet shove from the Ah on the flop, whereas a decent player will probably call on the turn and try to get there.
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