nl200 - jack overpair rrpot

[atti]

pretty standard ? just need some self-conmfidence at that limit...

villain 13/11/6

Cryptologic - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $1/$2 Blinds - 5 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $360.30
Hero (BB): $251.20
UTG: $479.00
CO: $197.00
BTN: $202.95

Preflop: Hero is dealt J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (5 Players)
2 folds, <font color="red">BTN raises to $8.00</font>, SB folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $28.00</font>, BTN calls $20.00

Flop: ($57) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $38.00</font>, BTN calls $38.00

Turn: ($133) 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

River: ($133) 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">BTN bets $50.00</font>, Hero calls $50.00

Pot Size: $233.00 ($3 Rake)

[danjohncochane]

I don't think i call this river. Villians stats are very tight and you are beat almost 90% of the time here. What can you beat?? - 88/77/66 - this player wont be playing them. He has QQ/KK/AA here often. Fold river.

[Poker monkey]

I don't know, why would BTN check behind on the turn with such a drawey board if he had a strong made hand? He MIGHT do it with 99 or TT, but pre-flop he doesn't really get good odds to call for set value so these hands are less likely. He could check behind with AA-QQ for pot control, but you'll see a missed draw at least some of the time (you need to be ahead 21% of the time to call the river).

[13_Xerxes]

I fold river against this nit. I don't see what he can value bet worst on the river. You beat only a bluff...

AKs/AQs raise or shove the flop very often. Fold.

[Unknown Soldier]

yeah c/f turn c/f river

[orange]

he isnt vb-ing 88 on this river. i think your boned.

[DCWildcat]

As a limit player who knows nothing...how often will this kind of villain bet AK/AQ ui here?

[sublime]

[ QUOTE ]
As a limit player who knows nothing...how often will this kind of villain bet AK/AQ ui here?

[/ QUOTE ]

he probably doesnt even have AQ that often here when he sees a flop. AK hits the muck when he misses the flop.

[orange]

DC,
how can AK/AQ be in his hand range? i dont think he'll call the flop with complete air.

alternately, if hero were to have AK/AQ, i dont really think its a great spot to lead the river. i think that a turn lead &gt; river lead with AK in OP's spot (if he had that hand (instead of JJ)).

[LeadbellyDan]

why not bet the turn??