NL 25 full ring, AA faces large overpush on the flop

[jk1986]

Villain has a saw flop % of 26.7%, and has a player note from a previous session of decent TAG.
I haven't been playing that many hands simply as I haven't had any to play.

Villain takes a while to make the call of my preflop raise. His limp, call line makes me think small pair, and with my tight preflop play in this session, makes me think that hes got to be putting me on a big hand or at least ak. With that board, I think hes hit his set and is expecting a call from ak aa etc.

The other possible hand would be a monster combo draw, which I think possible as well, although less likely than a set.
Therefore my reasoning was to fold as I'm 50-50 to a monster draw, and losing to a set, and as far as I can see the only hand I'm going to see here that I'm beating a bare flush draw, (I should mention also that I really don't think the villain is risking his stack here with just TP).

What do you think of my reasoning here?


Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (10 handed) internettexasholdem.com

UTG ($13)
UTG+1 ($4.65)
UTG+2 ($5)
MP1 ($15.30)
MP2 ($40.55)
MP3 ($24.26)
CO ($24.25)
Button ($4.45)
Hero ($34.09)
BB ($6.13)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. UTG+2 posts a blind of $0.25. Hero posts a blind of $0.10.
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, UTG+2 (poster) checks, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP2 calls $0.25, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, CO calls $0.25, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero (poster) raises to $1.65</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG+2 folds, MP2 calls $1.50, CO calls $1.50.

Flop: ($5.75) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $5</font>, CO folds, MP2 goes all in, Hero folds