Analyzing a Voting System (Math Geeks Please Help!)

[Al6Jets18]

Understandable explanation of the Banzhaf Power Index found Here

The inherent problem of using voting power, or probability, to analyze voter behavior/turnout, is that it assumes a high percentage of totally rational voters, when in fact a majority of voters subscribe to "expressive voting," or voting to express support or dislike for a candidate, not necessarily to get that candidate elected. For instance, any 3rd party voters in federal elections are expressive, because someone like Nader is not going to win, yet these voters can have a great influence on the outcome (See 2000 Presidential Election, Florida). Others vote for the sake of voting in a democratic society.

PM me for more information, I have done research in this area.