Hillary's poll numbers tanking...

[Max Raker]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
The polarizing argument is so ridiculous. If 40% of the electorate would rather die then see you elected but the other 60% vote for you, you will win. All a person that hates Hillary can do is vote for the other guy. They don't get to vote twice or put a negative vote for Hillary. If Hillary doesn't win it will be because not enough people want her to be president. Can't believe I had to type that.

[/ QUOTE ]

You aren't considering turnout. If 40% of the electorate would rather die than see you win, and the other 60% like you, you'll probably lose, because your people won't all vote.

[/ QUOTE ]

I was using electorate as people who come out and actually vote, not just people who can legally vote, sorry for not being clear. My statement was pretty stupid, but people don't seem to understand why candidates lose. The point is if win the nomination and lose the election it will be because your people didn't come out to vote for you. Put another way, it doesn't matter if the people who don't vote for you hate you alot or just a little.

Also, GWB was very polarizing when he ran the second time. Many people where in the "anybody but Bush camp". This is part of the reason why Nader did so much worse in 2004 than 2000. Bush was able to win because he got enough support from his base. The fact that a decent percent of the country hate him makes no difference.