#1
|
|||
|
|||
+ev with marginal hand
Full tilt 6k grrt buy-in 24.2
8-handed , 16 left. average around 50k blinds 2000/4000 ante 250? relevant stacks utg 80k mp2 75k co 12k me 47k Utg minraise to 8000 mp2 calls co pushes for 4000 more me pushes for 35 0000 more with KQo Reads: i´ve been playing with utg the entire tourney almost and he have so far folded everytime against resistance when he minraise utg. seems to be minraising small pairs, AT-AJ, KT-KQ, probably some others to, he minraises light EP and from what ive seen he doesnt do it with big hands. so im positive he is going to fold. mp2, weak player. have played with him for quite some time and he seems to be playing a lot of crap. But he makes loose calls to so i think he might call me although i dont think im very often ´sorry he calls... co, don´t know much about him, but my guess is he takes the first ok hand he gets. Say aces, maybe high to semihigh suited connectors expecting to go fourhanded. my thinking, utg will fold, mp2 might call but i think i´ll be ahead or not far behind (small pp) if he calls. Might be a 40/60 against co but with the overlay (there is 36k in the pot before me) im happy to take that shot what do u think? |
#2
|
|||
|
|||
Re: +ev with marginal hand
I'd wait for a better spot...I realize there's a lot of dead money if you can fold those guys out, but the chances that someone has a real hand is pretty high...and you don't.
|
|
|