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#1
08-23-2007, 08:50 PM
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AK v. Min Raise
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Poker Stars - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.50/$1 Blinds - 5 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter) Hero (SB): $102.05 BB: $133.55 UTG: $15.50 CO: $126.90 BTN: $65.70 Preflop: Hero is dealt K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (5 Players) 2 folds, BTN calls $1.00, <font color="red">Hero raises to $5.00</font>, BB folds, BTN calls $4.00 Flop: ($11) T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">Hero bets $8.00</font>, <font color="red">BTN raises to $16.00</font>, [i] Call and get it in on a blank turn? 
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#2
08-23-2007, 09:00 PM
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Re: AK v. Min Raise
Given he's only got 65, I would just move in now. He might feel priced in and call, or he might just let a random flush go (which is fine). If you just call and open push a blank turn, I think he'll fold a draw often.
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#3
08-23-2007, 09:18 PM
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Re: AK v. Min Raise
He will never fold a flush. Villain is +EV to call a flop push at this point if he is on a flush draw. I haven't run the #'s, but I think at this point calling and pushing a blank turn (with him folding to the push) is more +EV than getting it in here. I think the best play here is to call flop and get it in on a blank turn. If the turn comes a heart, then it comes down to a read whether he is drawing. If he were a little deeper, we could push flop and make this a tougher decision for him.
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#4
08-23-2007, 09:21 PM
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Re: AK v. Min Raise
That's fine if we're guaranteed villain will call it off on a blank turn. The thing is he'll fold to a huge turn bet unimproved with only one card to come a lot of the time.
Just because it's +EV for him to call doesn't mean it's not +EV for us, too. If the turn blanks and he folds to a push, we just let him save his stack. If the turn flushes and we fold, we just let him draw out on us for free.
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#5
08-24-2007, 06:41 AM
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Re: AK v. Min Raise
[ QUOTE ]
That's fine if we're guaranteed villain will call it off on a blank turn. The thing is he'll fold to a huge turn bet unimproved with only one card to come a lot of the time. Just because it's +EV for him to call doesn't mean it's not +EV for us, too. If the turn blanks and he folds to a push, we just let him save his stack. If the turn flushes and we fold, we just let him draw out on us for free. [/ QUOTE ] I'm not sure the extra EV made getting it in now would be worth the variance. Me no like variance.
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