NLTRN 200 - Mid pair + OESD facing shove from new passive player

[xSCWx]

The villain is some new player who is definitely clueless. He spent the first half of the tournament completely passive. He seemed to have a 6-max type hand range to raise with preflop.

He has been starting to make some moves now. Originally his top pair move was check/min-raise, but as best I can tell his move up until this hand has been to open shove top pair.

The only hands he has opened against me with thus far have been ones where he has raised preflop. He has played his raised hands by either checking through or betting pot each street (which I assume is when he hits but I haven't seen a showdown in one of those).


Full Tilt Poker Game #3695503956: $200 + $10 Heads Up Sit & Go (28174694), Table 1 - 30/60 - No Limit Hold'em - 9:47:47 ET - 2007/09/28
Seat 1: xoguess81ox (860)
Seat 2: xSCWx (2,140)
xSCWx posts the small blind of 30
xoguess81ox posts the big blind of 60
The button is in seat #2

*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to xSCWx [6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]]
xSCWx calls 30
xoguess81ox checks

*** FLOP *** [7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]]
xoguess81ox bets 120
xSCWx calls 120

*** TURN *** [7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]] [8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]]
xoguess81ox has 15 seconds left to act
xoguess81ox bets 680, and is all in
xSCWx has 15 seconds left to act
xSCWx calls 680


I don't have pokerstove but I plugged in some hands to a calculator online. Against the K3o I am ~29%, against Q7 I am ~89%.

I'm getting ~1.5:1, easy call?

[XxPenguinxX]

He's a passive player, who has shown aggression two streets running. It's a dangerous board, and he could easily have the King. His overbet on the flop certainly suggests a strong hand which he feels to be vulnerable, and fear of flush/straight draws is in keeping with your "6-maxy" read.

I would fold here - I think you're giving him an easy double-through back into a chip lead. Q7o is about the absolute worst he could be doing this with - more likely a K or some sort of combo draw. Also bear in mind that not many of your OESD outs are "clean" with the double flush draw on board.

Preserve your lead and wait for a better spot.

[recondite7]

RR all in on the flop to make this easier? I don't think he's too deep for this the FE is decent IMO

[xSCWx]

Results:

<font color="white"> Villain shows T7o. River 10. </font>