more Hand Reading practice

[matrix]

Party Poker, $0.25/$0.50 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

Hero (SB): $113.53
BB: $50
UTG: $134.51
MP: $50
CO: $70.87
BTN: $54.53

Pre-Flop: two cards dealt to Hero (SB)
UTG folds, <font color="red">MP raises to $2</font>, 2 folds, Hero calls $1.75, BB folds

Flop: ($4.50) 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">MP bets $2.50</font>, Hero calls $2.50

Turn: ($9.50) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">MP bets $7</font>, Hero calls $7

River: ($23.50) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">MP bets $16</font>, Hero calls $16

Villain is 32/22/5 lagfish. Street Ag factors are 4/7/5

what has villain got?

what have I got?

what do you call with on the river?

[Nemesis69]

What are your stats?

[tcmNOWAY]

My guess is busted draw (not J9ss) trying to buy w/ triple-barrel vs. AT, hero could have KT or even A8 (should've posted your stats too while you were at it).

Snap-call w/ a 10, call sometimes with MPGK (TPBK could be possible for villain although unlikely here imo)

[KEW]

I would put OP on a range of JTs,T9,89s and maybe 78s and possibly 99..I put 99 in OPs range based on villains aggro number on all streets would make calling for set value very +EV...I exclude hands like ATs-QTs because they are so hard to play OOP and get away from OOP vs an aggro post flop LAG and OP is more likely to 3 bet them PF...

Villain range is nearly ATC that he would open raise with from MP..OP played hand very passively like a FD so a aggro villain could be triple barrelling putting OP squarely on a FD..

[matrix]

hero is 20/17/2 TAG but villain has just sat and won't know that.

[orlov]

Mh i think op has a set, I just dont think he would have called with an sc from the SB.
Mayb at.

[Schiester]

I'd showdown this way with 99, 89s, 9Ts any better suited T, ATo here I think given villans stats. Probably makes sense not to repop 99 here if villan is LAGfish and will pay off when you hit.

Set isn't likely as I'd expect it to be raised on river .

I think 99 makes the most sense as I don't see matrix playing scs two-way from the blinds without a good read he's getting payed off when he hits.

... sorry KEW, pretty much what you already said.

I'm thinking 99 makes the most sense though.

[thing85]

::grunch::

Hero has something like 77, 99, Ad8d, As6s, 7d8d, or Td9d.

Villain's range includes a busted SD or FD, a QT/KT/AT type hand, or a small PP (that doesn't give him a set).

I probably call this river with any of those hands I listed in hero's range as they are mostly head of villain's range (but it's close).

[orlov]

Oh nvm, didnt see that hero called on the river my bad, mh my guess then also is 99/at or even JJ(smoothcalling allows villain to bluff his stack off?)

[thing85]

If hero has JJ, he played it very poorly. I also don't think hero has a T of JTs+ because he would've put in a raise on the flop or turn. QTo/KTo/ATo are likely out of hero's range because he flat calls the raise OOP PF. IMO, he either 3bets those or folds them given his stats.