$22, 77 UTG in tough spot

[kamel]

[ QUOTE ]
77 is very close, OP, but simple ICM problem...

[/ QUOTE ]

No, it is not a simple ICM problem. ICM will tell you that it is close btw.

The decision depends more on what edge you guess you have on these opponents?! How game will go on when you will be in the blinds and BU (can you steal with about 5BBs or not). How fast is the structure. When blinds raise up next time, you'll be in UTG or BB or whatever? (Will they attack you).

How likely is it if you gamble now to get an also soft SnG or even more softer one just by registrating now.

What is your BR-management, probably with 20BI I fold, with 120 I definitly push, inbetween ?? What is probably the BR-Management for your regulars in this game. Can they pushed around? Or not. Are they multitabling (thus not recognicing how short you are when you push)

So, there are a lot of factors outside of ICM to evaluate this hand. So it isn't an easy ICM problem IMHO for at least.