Belmont Stakes

[Bishop22]

Not much reason to get excited about the Belmont but there is money to be made. The Belmont is almost always won by one of the top two horses or a bomb with a freak Tomlinson figure (e.g Birdstone). The pedigree horse this year is Deputy Glitters but his Tomlinson is <400 so that angle may not even be significant. I am thinking this year is going to be chalky, any rain at all could all but seal up a Bluegrass Cat/BnJ exacta (440/404 slop Tomlinsons respectively).

Bodog has a prop I like: Winner will pay <$27.80 -350. Based on the current Pinny lines there should be a scalp there if you wanted to go that route. I'd prefer to handicap the bombs and play it like a freeroll as I think there are more than a few throwouts among the contenders.