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  #11  
Old 10-03-2007, 12:05 PM
monkeymaps monkeymaps is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: davol patrick, sucks
Posts: 1,169
Default Re: NL50 - bet sizing?

[ QUOTE ]
I originally posted that your raise on the flop was fine but then I got to wondering about our villain's range...

We're Beating: 44/55/66/77/88/99/TT
We're Crushed: QQ/KK/AA
We're Flipping: AQ/AK

A read on our opponent would certainly help out, but I think I might just smooth call this flop and re-evaluate on the turn. If we dodge an A,K, or Q we're probably still in the lead (except for overpairs which are coolers), and can extract more value from those hands that we crush.

Edit: Grunched post originally and then saw that the OP had no problems stacking off here. If so, then I think the raise is fine.

[/ QUOTE ]

with this flop were better than flipping agianst AQ/AK.
smaller poker pairs are a huge part of his range IMO and some random overs trying to play back at OP in in his range to I think.
board is dry small raise with the intention of getting it in is goot imo. esp if a large raise gets him to fold a small PP that might get it in if the turn comes another low card.
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  #12  
Old 10-03-2007, 12:17 PM
netstorm netstorm is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2006
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Posts: 902
Default Re: NL50 - bet sizing?

OP,

Whats your plan if he 3bets or shoves over our raise?
Whats your plan if he calls and a blank hits and he
- leads out small
- checks
- makes a decent sized bet
- shoves?

(PF is standard imo... its a pot sized raise and we're IP)
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  #13  
Old 10-03-2007, 01:16 PM
dirtylobster dirtylobster is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 2,124
Default Re: NL50 - bet sizing?

[ QUOTE ]
OP,

Whats your plan if he 3bets or shoves over our raise?
Whats your plan if he calls and a blank hits and he
- leads out small
- checks
- makes a decent sized bet
- shoves?

(PF is standard imo... its a pot sized raise and we're IP)

[/ QUOTE ]

The only way I think I could fold this hand against this particular opponent would be if he'd 3bet-minraise me on the flop.

If he'd shove I'd snapcall as I beat most of the PP's he could shove with.

If he leads out small on the turn I also figure to be ahead.

If he checks I also figure to be ahead.

A decent sized bet is quite scary actually and I'd probably tank for a while before reluctantly shoving over him.

If he shoves the turn I snapcall.

These answers are read-dependent and I normally wouldn't overvalue JJ like this.
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