FT200 I squeeze and the other guy calls

[Nielsio]

Full Tilt Poker, $1/$2 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

UTG: $229
MP: $203.60
CO: $246
BTN: $179.10
Hero (SB): $446
BB: $206.15

Pre-Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (SB)
2 folds, <font color="red">CO raises to $7</font>, BTN calls $7, <font color="red">Hero raises to $29</font>, 2 folds, BTN calls $22

Flop: ($67) T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero ..?



BTN is 44/12/2/25 .


If I bet I'm probably folding out most underpairs. If I check I'm giving KQ/AQ/AK etc a free card, but he may also bluff because 3-betting and checking looks really weak. On the other hand there is 67 in the pot and he started with 179 so he only has 150 left. I am protected against an ace though (if he has Ax and not KQ).

So just bet or something else?

[Imrahil]

I don't mind crai or bet/call.

[Bramsterdam]

Bet/call, he might bluff raise you on this flop and it prevents you from getting outdrawn.

You would bet your air on this flop, so bet your good hands as well.

[Jamsym]

[ QUOTE ]
Bet/call, he might bluff raise you on this flop and it prevents you from getting outdrawn.

You would bet your air on this flop, so bet your good hands as well.

[/ QUOTE ]

[Nielsio]

[ QUOTE ]
You would bet your air on this flop

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Against an unknown (but likely fish) who likely has reasonable equity on this flop? I wouldn't be so sure of that.

[JackAll]

[ QUOTE ]
You would bet your air on this flop, so bet your good hands as well.

[/ QUOTE ]

btn is 44/12 ... balancing our range is not an issue here.


Main reason I find to bet this flop is to protect against AK/AQ hitting their K or Q or a low pair hitting a set, which is 2-3 outs (for whatever hand they have). Other than that, I think he folds out a fair few worse hands and never folds better hands. So I would probably check flop.

The interesting thing is what we do if he bets.

[sokiraJ]

Bet/call 45-50. He might still put you on AK and call with underpairs.

[rakes.a.beach]

bet

[Jamsym]

Just to post my reasons for the bet/call:

Let him make the tough choice. If you bet 3/4 pot here he's commited to his whole stack if he wants to continue. Put him to this choice.

If he has 22-99 it can look like a good flop for him, paired board and a flush draw, he must feel he has a good chance at being ahead.

Also it's better to be aggressive because next time you 3 bet and miss the flop you want your c-bet to work.

[nazahl]

AK and AQ have 7 outs on the flop