Two Plus Two Newer Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Newer Archives > Other Poker > Other Poker Games

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 06-12-2007, 04:31 AM
Bedz Bedz is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 159
Default 5cd sample size

Ok, how large of a sample of 5-card draw hands do you need to be able so get an ok overwiev of how much you are going to make (BB/100)
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 06-12-2007, 04:46 AM
stripsqueez stripsqueez is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2003
Location: Adelaide , South Australia
Posts: 3,213
Default Re: 5cd sample size

more than other games i reckon your win rate at 5 card limit draw is highly dependant on the quality of your opposition

assuming your playing roughly the same quality field i would guess that it is a very small number - say 5,000 hands or so before your win rate starts to reflect something close to your long term expectation

i kept stats manually at 5 card for a period of about 3,000 hands - what was truly startling for me was that i would win in a given session around 80% of the time - a session normally being 30+ minutes at a given table - over about 600,000 hands of decent winning at short handed limit holdem i won 54% of the sessions i played

limit draw has no variance

stripsqueez - chickenhawk
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 06-13-2007, 12:21 AM
Al Mirpuri Al Mirpuri is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Tiltville, Louisana
Posts: 2,294
Default Re: 5cd sample size

[ QUOTE ]
more than other games i reckon your win rate at 5 card limit draw is highly dependant on the quality of your opposition

assuming your playing roughly the same quality field i would guess that it is a very small number - say 5,000 hands or so before your win rate starts to reflect something close to your long term expectation

i kept stats manually at 5 card for a period of about 3,000 hands - what was truly startling for me was that i would win in a given session around 80% of the time - a session normally being 30+ minutes at a given table - over about 600,000 hands of decent winning at short handed limit holdem i won 54% of the sessions i played

limit draw has no variance

stripsqueez - chickenhawk

[/ QUOTE ]

Truly Startling? Mason states in GT&OT that Draw Poker has the least variance of all the mainstream variations. Indeed, the reason draw is said to have died out, according to Mason, is that the suckers could not overcome the edge a skilled player has whereas Hold'em has a near perfect correlation between luck and skill, the fish win enough to think they can play and the experts get to pay off their mortgages.
Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 04:18 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.