NL400 -- Flush draw -- Turn action -- standard

[willw9]

My standard here is to check behind...

[Isura]

edit, the EV is actually about $95 and not $63 in my above assumptions.

[Isura]

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The question is will he fold KQ 40% of the time?

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IME the answer is no. Once he calls that big flop raise and a blank comes on the turn, most will call the turn for less than a pot-sized bet with any K, and sometimes underpairs or the nut flush draw

[Paul Thomson]

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Yeah, Paul and I kinda talked about this over aim. How often does he have to fold to make pushing more profitable?

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.25(266) = (x)(266) + (1-x)[(.25)(488)-(.75)(222)]

Where x is the percentage that Villain must fold for pushing to be equal EV to checking behind. Assuming all our outs are good and we 0 implied odds.

[Isura]

I got $95 for checking (assuming we get a river bet 1/2 the time, and just win the pot the other 1/2 time). So just put that in somewhere and solve for x!

[tubasteve]

seems like an easy check if he overvalues his hands. no need to semibluff when you have no FE and he'll pay off your draw if you hit it.

[Bigmoney]

flop raise would be much better with a stronger draw, I check behind the turn almost always

[KLJ]

if i was the PFR i'd be more inclined to check here.

if i wasn't the PFR i'd be more inclined to push.