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  #11  
Old 05-10-2007, 01:46 PM
Troll_Inc Troll_Inc is offline
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Default Re: calling preflop 4bets

[ QUOTE ]
As a starter, the pot will be $942 and you'll have $597 left behind. So, you'll need 597/(942+597+597) = 0.28 equity to call.


So it should be profitable, if he has random AAxx and (more importantly) you can correctly determine when you have odds to call. I think it's fairly likely that you will sometimes be calling when you don't actually have the odds,

[/ QUOTE ]

I think it might be kind of hard to find stuff in the 25-30% equity range?

An inside straight draw it 32%:
http://www.propokertools.com/simulator/s...amp;h4=&h5=

Of course this situation is much better for the aces hand. I think the 3 bet OOP with a drawing hand is bad. Why not save that for when you have position? Then it is just a 3 bet vs his aces and a much more profitable situation.
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  #12  
Old 05-10-2007, 01:48 PM
Silent A Silent A is offline
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Default Re: calling preflop 4bets

[ QUOTE ]
For instance, are you calling if two diamonds come? What about 562r?

[/ QUOTE ]

Hero simply has to call both these flops without even blinking.
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  #13  
Old 05-10-2007, 01:55 PM
Silent A Silent A is offline
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Default Re: calling preflop 4bets

[ QUOTE ]
I think it might be kind of hard to find stuff in the 25-30% equity range?

[/ QUOTE ]

It's 20 to 25% thats really common. 25 to 30 is pretty rare.

For example, flopping 3 to a straight plus a backdoor flush draw, with no A on the board ...

board: 6d3c2h
Hand Pot equity Wins Ties
8d7d7h8s 23.92% 143,422 149
AA** 76.08% 456,429 149
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  #14  
Old 05-10-2007, 01:57 PM
JackInDaCrak JackInDaCrak is offline
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Default Re: calling preflop 4bets

I would like calling this preflop better without a pair in my hand, let alone 2 pairs.
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  #15  
Old 05-10-2007, 02:01 PM
Silent A Silent A is offline
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Default Re: calling preflop 4bets

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I think it's fairly likely that you will sometimes be calling when you don't actually have the odds,

[/ QUOTE ]

I think it might be kind of hard to find stuff in the 25-30% equity range?

[/ QUOTE ]

OK, I guess you were referring to this. The problem isn't calling in the 25-30% range, it's calling in the 20% and less range. These will come up when hero flops a dominated flush draw (or a dominated flush). Hero has to call these because they will be live more than 50% of the time (probably about 65+%).

But they aren't common enough to be too concerned about.
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  #16  
Old 05-10-2007, 02:05 PM
Silent A Silent A is offline
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Default Re: calling preflop 4bets

[ QUOTE ]
I would like calling this preflop better without a pair in my hand, let alone 2 pairs.

[/ QUOTE ]

The key is that the pair is connected. This makes a big difference. TT55ss would be a clear fold.
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  #17  
Old 05-10-2007, 02:27 PM
cmyr cmyr is offline
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Default Re: calling preflop 4bets

yes, TT55 wouldn't be a 3bet, either. Nor would many single-pair hands. connected pair hands, however, play almost as well as runs in this sort of situation, and often much better when it gets to be 3way+.


Very good stuff Silent, I was hoping when I posted this that you might chime in, and i appreciate your analysis. I did call the raise, and i knew in my gut it was justified, but i'd never seen the numbers properly run.
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  #18  
Old 05-10-2007, 02:41 PM
Silent A Silent A is offline
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Default Re: calling preflop 4bets

[ QUOTE ]
yeah, but if villain raises here like 15 % of the time and has aces about 3% of the time, he will be reraised 20% of the time and has to gain a lot of equity in case he isnt reraised.

[/ QUOTE ]

The 2-bet cost Hero $105 and he can expect a $50 profit (on just the call) on the 20% of the time that villain wakes up with AAxx. In order to make a profit with this play he needs to have an EV of less than $15 the other 80% of the time. If Hero believes he's a better player post-flop this won't be too hard to achieve since his hand is so well disguised, and he'll be in MP on the flop - so his position isn't too bad.
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  #19  
Old 05-10-2007, 03:33 PM
Lucky Clubs Lucky Clubs is offline
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Default Re: calling preflop 4bets

Next step... what was the flop?
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  #20  
Old 05-10-2007, 03:48 PM
Silent A Silent A is offline
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Default Re: calling preflop 4bets

[ QUOTE ]
Next step... what was the flop?

[/ QUOTE ]

Flop = 6 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 9 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] T [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]

Hero bets 597 all-in, villain calls

Turn = J [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
River = Q [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]

Hero shows 7 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 7 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 8 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 8 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] for Straight Flush Seven to Jack
Villain shows A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] K [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 3 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] for Royal Flush
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