NL200 - 86s -- squeeze play

[Paul Thomson]

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My question is more should I try and 3-bet a tight raiser?

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He's not really that tight. He's raising 16% of his hands and his stats show he folds A LOT to a 3-bet. I think squeezing here is perfectly fine, altough I squeeze just a tad bigger, like $32.

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To be honest, I made up the agression factor!! I'm not on that computer and I just got a PHUD and the aggression numbers don't mean as much to me as the VPIP and Raise Frequency. I'd guess that his aggression factor should be typical of most TAGS.

Though, I guess, I gotta learn how aggression factor relates to likelyhood of calling a 3-bet.

Any thoughts on the flop?

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Well, anything over ~1/2 psb and you have to call a push. So, I'd either bet about $60 and call a push if I felt like gambling or check and see what happens. There's also the option of open pushing, which I think is ok once in a while. FWIW, I don't like a c/r ai, because I think our FE is way way higher with a standard c-bet.

As far as my comment regarding him folding to a lot of 3-bets, it's because his pfr % is so close to his vpip, thus showing that he rarely coldcalls. It's either raise or fold for him. I don't like the squeeze as much vs. a guy with like 28/16 stats or something.

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I was thinking the same thing about his stats. But there's a pretty big difference between someone who has a raising range of 20 compared to someone who has one of 16.

I totally agree with you on the flop action. I had the exact same thought process. If I bet than I'm committed to calling a raise which is all good with me to be honest. I'd hardly ever push here and don't think it really earns me any additional FE.

But best of all I liked the fact that the tight player had a donkey behind him. So I know that he'll likely fold a hand like JJ.

[Hince]

I like the squeeze in this spot. MP is probably folding most of the time and BU is easy to play even OOP.

As for the flop, I'm torn between a $60 bet and c/rai. The problem I see with the c/r is that I don't think MP will bet anything that he isn't moderately prepared to call a push with, especially since this is a 3-way, 3-bet pot.