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  #71  
Old 11-18-2006, 07:05 PM
swope swope is offline
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Default last minute hughes v gsp line shifts

a lot of people simply want gsp to win, and the UFC Countdown special really harped on how gsp was dominating hughes in their first fight (which is true). its totally unsuprising that money is flying towards gsp, as a lot of people are basing their decision on what is essentially propoganda + a heartfelt disliking of hughes.

same thing as monson v sylvia; the ufc special is really hyping up monson as this totally legit contender to timmays crown, when the truth is that monson has fought NO ONE of timmays caliber in his entire career, no one even close. within hours of this airing, monsons line went from like -230 to -190.

same thing happened with horn v liddell. chuck was like -360, then the UFC countdown special airs with endless, slow mo footage of horn subbing chuck. an hour later, chuck is -280.

the whole point of these UFC countdown specials is to legitimize underdogs and generate interest in what are usually lopsided matchups.

hughes + gsp is something of an exception, since this *is* a totally legit title fight and gsp *does* have the potential to walk away with a belt, but again, you see enough slow-mo footage of gsp nailing hughes with a spinning back kick two years ago, combined with hughes being an insufferable arrogant racist jock every time a camera is on, and you have the makings for a pretty severe line shift.
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  #72  
Old 11-18-2006, 07:07 PM
Mac Mac is offline
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Default GSP the favorite !!!

on pinnacle...

Matt Hughes -104
Georges St. Pierre -106

what do people know that I don't know?
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  #73  
Old 11-18-2006, 07:07 PM
apple11 apple11 is offline
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Default Re: last minute hughes v gsp line shifts

you gotta be kidding me gsp is legit but monson is not what is the line on Timmay right now id consider throwing more on him.
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  #74  
Old 11-18-2006, 07:17 PM
Kedu Kedu is offline
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Default Re: last minute hughes v gsp line shifts

[ QUOTE ]
combined with hughes being an insufferable arrogant racist jock every time a camera is on, and you have the makings for a pretty severe line shift.

[/ QUOTE ]

racist?
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  #75  
Old 11-18-2006, 07:19 PM
swope swope is offline
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Default Re: last minute hughes v gsp line shifts

[ QUOTE ]
you gotta be kidding me gsp is legit but monson is not what is the line on Timmay right now id consider throwing more on him.

[/ QUOTE ]

im not following you.. youre saying monson at +170 against someone at least ten times more dangerous than anyone he has ever fought in an MMA match is +EV?
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  #76  
Old 11-18-2006, 07:19 PM
swope swope is offline
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Default Re: GSP the favorite !!!

thanks, UFC Countdown!
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  #77  
Old 11-18-2006, 07:22 PM
apple11 apple11 is offline
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Default Re: GSP the favorite !!!

No Im saying tim is pretty much a lock and wanted to know if tim's odds are better now then they were yesterday so i can bet more on him.
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  #78  
Old 11-18-2006, 07:23 PM
goodsamaritan goodsamaritan is offline
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Default Re: last minute hughes v gsp line shifts

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
you gotta be kidding me gsp is legit but monson is not what is the line on Timmay right now id consider throwing more on him.

[/ QUOTE ]

im not following you.. youre saying monson at +170 against someone at least ten times more dangerous than anyone he has ever fought in an MMA match is +EV?

[/ QUOTE ]

He's saying he wants to put money on Sylvia.
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  #79  
Old 11-18-2006, 07:31 PM
swope swope is offline
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Default Re: GSP the favorite !!!

totally misunderstood, sorry [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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  #80  
Old 11-18-2006, 07:32 PM
swope swope is offline
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Default Re: last minute hughes v gsp line shifts

<-- totally misunderstood, thanks
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