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Old 11-28-2007, 07:08 PM
GaZaZaZa GaZaZaZa is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 106
Default Re: [PL100] - small set + nut flush draw , squeeze the turn ?

i think the best play here is to try and put as much money in this pot on the flop as possible, ok small set isnt that great a hand, but when combined with a nut flush draw and a gut shot to the absolute nuts, its quite a monster of a flop, like what kind of flop are u after when you play a hand like yours, 2.3.5 spades?????


against buzz's hand of a-k-t-2 you are about 70% fav
As 4s 4d Jh 503 654 160 6 0 0 0 0.709
2s Ad Kd Th 160 160 654 6 160 0 0 0.291


even against a set with no low draw you are only a slight dog
As 4s 4d Jh 372 372 448 0 0 0 0 0.454
8c Td 9d Th 448 448 372 0 0 0 0 0.546

or a set with a low, you still arnt that bad off
As 4s 4d Jh 318 372 448 0 0 0 0 0.421
8c Td 7d Th 448 448 372 0 144 0 0 0.579

against something like a big wrap you also are quite the fav
As 4s 4d Jh 600 600 211 9 0 0 0 0.737
Qs 9s Tc Jd 211 211 600 9 0 0 0 0.263


given that, with no maths behind it, im sure buzz can do the calulations though, you run into a set here prob less then 30% of the time this is a great spot to put you money in, and even those times when you are up against a set your not that terriblly off...

my advice, put as much money as possible on this flop... and even the turn im still tempted to shove against villians possible hand range and how i face up against it
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