NL25.. TP valuebet river?

[terencetsao]

SB is 20/3/4 over 30 hands, so i have no exact read on him, can i possibly be value betting my hand on the river since the J hit? If i can value bet, how much should i bet?

Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25
5 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $5.35
Hero: $24.30
Button: $95.50
SB: $24.15
BB: $91.70

Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is CO with K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
UTG folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $1</font>, Button folds, SB calls, BB folds.

Flop: 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($2.25, 2 players)
SB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $2</font>, SB calls.

Turn: T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($6.25, 2 players)
SB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $5</font>, SB calls.

River: J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($16.25, 2 players)
SB checks. hero..?

[whyzze]

He is very aggro and he has c/c 2 streets. he doesn't raise much preflop and he doesn't play that many hands either. His range to me is AK/AQ. I cant see him checking the river with AJ/AT (but its possible). I would shove...he obviously likes his hand and hes played passively. There is no reason to think he is ahead. I cant put him on a hand other than AK/AQ.

[wikemang]

Shove, which is approximately a pot sized bet.

[terencetsao]

[ QUOTE ]
He is very aggro and he has c/c 2 streets. he doesn't raise much preflop and he doesn't play that many hands either. His range to me is AK/AQ. I cant see him checking the river with AJ/AT (but its possible). I would shove...he obviously likes his hand and hes played passively. There is no reason to think he is ahead. I cant put him on a hand other than AK/AQ.

[/ QUOTE ]

nice read he did have AQ, but i check behind him figure its either AQ or AJ. Bad play by me, lost big value there. =( situations like that, how can u guys be sure he doesn't have AJ?

[Movelong]

check here man, Ak was not a strong hands here, so donative to shove.

[orange]

value bet. do not check here. if you check, you are missing tons of value from worse aces/etc. i don't mind the PSB advice from above posters.