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Old 10-18-2007, 12:55 PM
Runner Runner Runner Runner is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2003
Location: Better then Elezra
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Default Re: NBA over/under win totals

Some words of caution before making these season long wagers:

There is a slight over-bias in these numbers as the average # of wins per team is 41.5 (should be 41). This should make you more likely to take an Under.

One thing you guys should also consider before wagering is regression to the mean from season to season. A typical team will move closer to .500 from one season to the next, this is a given.

So, in order to make a play on an over above 41 wins, hopefully you will have some real strong evidence of improvement for that team. Especially if they won 41 or less games last year.

Also, you are tying up money for a long time, it is often better used during the season.
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