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#2
12-01-2007, 03:09 AM
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Re: the proof is in the pudding
[ QUOTE ]
Heh. If I turned in to NT, I'd probably be banning Thremp every two days... -P [/ QUOTE ] This is true. I will not refute the fact that my behavior is horrendous by even the most generous of standards. 
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#3
12-01-2007, 01:44 PM
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Re: the proof is in the pudding
[ QUOTE ]
From the FAQ: # What is the highest sustainable win rate in point spread betting? # Generally, somewhere in the 55%-60% range is considered the maximum that is sustainable. However, if you start approaching the higher end of that range, you are probably passing up some +EV wagers. (emphasis added) Not to say anything about sample size, yadda yadda. No one says its "impossible" to pick 60%. [/ QUOTE ] exactly...I was 24-8 my first full year posting football ATS picks on 2p2 because it was only my best plays even today as I'm a .500 warrior, my POTW's posted on 2p2 are 27-15 IIRC also, if you are thelyingthief, where is the loss for Wisconsin @ Penn St? That is the game where I came across and tried to discuss things with you, so it kind of sticks out in my mind.
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#4
12-01-2007, 03:41 AM
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Re: the proof is in the pudding
LOL 15-4, what a square. I believe I'm something like 12-0 on my posts including a 17/2 and a 5/1 winner, but you don't see me creating new topics to announce it. [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]
Seriously though I've been betting online for 3 years now and I keep a log of every bet I've made. Throwing out arbs. I've won a shade over 81% of my bets, so I believe you.
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#5
12-01-2007, 04:09 AM
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Re: the proof is in the pudding
such a howl and crescendo..
yes, indeed, the whole gist of the post was missed; and, in being missed, underscored... how's that tail feel, fellas? pulled?
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#6
12-01-2007, 04:13 AM
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Re: the proof is in the pudding
[ QUOTE ]
such a howl and crescendo.. yes, indeed, the whole gist of the post was missed; and, in being missed, underscored... how's that tail feel, fellas? pulled? [/ QUOTE ] Did tlt get banned? Thats usually why I use an alternate name. Why are you? Why the brag thread? Seems pointless.
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#7
12-01-2007, 11:52 AM
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Re: the proof is in the pudding
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] such a howl and crescendo.. yes, indeed, the whole gist of the post was missed; and, in being missed, underscored... how's that tail feel, fellas? pulled? losers. [/ QUOTE ] Did tlt get banned? Thats usually why I use an alternate name. Why are you? Why the brag thread? Seems pointless. [/ QUOTE ] the point is: your facile belief system. and you still haven't published your win rate, average rate of return, and bet size. you talk a great deal about kelly. so let's talk some kelly, thremp. show me what you know. -c
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#8
12-01-2007, 12:13 PM
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Re: the proof is in the pudding
http://www.sbrforum.com/Betting+Tool...alculator.aspx
Umm... Use it? I mean is their really much to discuss? Its a well published and researched bet sizing system if you know your edge.
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#9
12-01-2007, 01:48 PM
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Re: the proof is in the pudding
[ QUOTE ]
such a howl and crescendo.. yes, indeed, the whole gist of the post was missed; and, in being missed, underscored... [/ QUOTE ] So enlighten us, oh masterful picker of the 61% rate. What exactly was the point? You post a 19-game sample. My opening five weeks from the NFL last year (Performify's Pigskin Picks, through Week 5, all posted on this forum, all against Widely Available lines and all with units tracked and posted before games): 9-5-1. Excluding the tie, that's a 64.2% win percentage. If you take through week six, seventeen games, it drops to a measly 59%. What does a small sample prove? What if you even jump to the end of both seasons and look at my total weighted record? I've got publicly available picks against widely available lines for the last two seasons, winning seasons both, against WA lines (i'll repeat). But still, what does it matter? If you want to jump to MMA, something that doesn't directly compare to spread picks, but still, I'm 18-8 up double digit units for the last four events. Weeee, variance is fun! So back to the matter, what's your point? Are you disappointed that you're not being welcomed as an expert, and still seeking that affection and respect that you crave? Did you miss the parade we threw in your honor the first week you arrived? Or the key to the forums which Sklansky himself enscribed and presented? Truly, you are god's gift to handicappers and we shall shower you with adoration every time you weigh in on a post. -P
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