Top 2 Against a donk

[jaywks]

Villain here is very donkish. He's 65/32/1.5 over 124 hands. He had been minraising a lot and basically called every hand to see the flop.

On the flop here I was a little surprised when he leads out pot. This was the first time he had ever done that and I decided to call to see the turn card. He then basically instashoved the turn, and I was at a lost about what to do.


Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $1/$2 Blinds - 5 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $201.80
BB: $267.90
UTG: $300.90
Hero (CO): $515.15
BTN: $91.10

Preflop: Hero is dealt Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (5 Players)
<font color="red">UTG raises to $4.00</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $15.00</font>, BTN calls $15.00, 2 folds, UTG calls $11.00

Flop: ($48) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 Players)
<font color="red">UTG bets $48.00</font>, Hero calls $48.00, BTN folds

Turn: ($144) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">UTG bets all-in for $237.90</font>, Hero ?

[Bukem_]

hellmuthian instacall time

[urbanati]

[ QUOTE ]
hellmuthian instacall time

[/ QUOTE ]
rofl

[Fat Nicky]

i really hate flat calling this flop. crappy cards could come on the turn that will not only be scare cards, but will also kill our action if we're ahead.

[Nepthu]

I suspect he has two pair or better. Maybe he has ak, aj, or just an ace. But it wouldn't surprise me if he turned over kj for the straight at all - in fact that is my #1 guess.

[skegvegaspoker]

Turn is I think I agree with Fat Nicky about the flop raise. There is so much value in the raise as he calls with worse hands, and you need to protect against the many draws (which I think is more likely that KJ, given that he bet out on the flop).

Even if his range is only TT/AT/KJ, we have 44.6% equity on the turn. We only need 38.4%. Hence, insta-call.

[filsteal]

[ QUOTE ]
I suspect he has two pair or better. Maybe he has ak, aj, or just an ace. But it wouldn't surprise me if he turned over kj for the straight at all - in fact that is my #1 guess.

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm trying to put that range into Pokerstove, but I can't find the button for selecting the "#1 guess" hand. Can you help me?

[MortenTA]

The donkbet on the flop would def. suggest to me that he is trying to look stronger than he is.

IMO a player with these stats and a 150BB stack would be proned to bluff more ( since things are going his way ).

This put together with his pfr range makes this a call for me. I would probably raise flop and call a shove.