|
#1
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Are NE even money to win the superbowl?
The Patriots are - mathematically speaking in the here and now - a -108 favorite to win the Superbowl.
Therefore, no there is not enough value to wrap up your money for that long. I thought you were brand new to sports betting? The way you phrased it made it sound like you were making a bet with your friend. If you're a Pats fan and your friend is giving you +100 and you want to make a bet, take it. If you're worried about "value" and things like that, then just pass. |
#2
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Are NE even money to win the superbowl?
Stats sat 32.5% to win SB so it's a tuff bet at even up. Football Outsides who are freaklishly good at this stuff have
Pats 32.5% Dallas 22.9 Indy 19.4 GB 6.5 Pitts 5.7 Also Pats have a 22.8% chance to go 16-0 |
#3
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Are NE even money to win the superbowl?
[ QUOTE ]
Also Pats have a 22.8% chance to go 16-0 [/ QUOTE ] If you believe that to be true, you should hammer the "No team goes 16-0" on WSEX for -150. |
#4
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Are NE even money to win the superbowl?
If the previous NE/Indy line is any indication, New England will be 85% to win at home vs Indy.
|
#5
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Are NE even money to win the superbowl?
[ QUOTE ]
If the previous NE/Indy line is any indication, New England will be 85% to win at home vs Indy. [/ QUOTE ] The line was heavily in favor of the Pats. A tax I think people on here were calling it. The true line probably should have been Pats -1 or so, even possibly having the Colts favored. |
#6
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Are NE even money to win the superbowl?
The REAL line was Colts -1/2 Thats why I put a ton on the Colts! WHEW!!!!
|
#7
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Are NE even money to win the superbowl?
where can you find the REAL line?
|
#8
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Are NE even money to win the superbowl?
[ QUOTE ]
The line was heavily in favor of the Pats. A tax I think people on here were calling it. The true line probably should have been Pats -1 or so, even possibly having the Colts favored. [/ QUOTE ] If you believe this to be true, OP should take the NE superbowl bet at +100, then bet their playoff opponents on the Moneyline. I happen to think NEP -4.5 was a very fair line. |
#9
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Are NE even money to win the superbowl?
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] The line was heavily in favor of the Pats. A tax I think people on here were calling it. The true line probably should have been Pats -1 or so, even possibly having the Colts favored. [/ QUOTE ] If you believe this to be true, OP should take the NE superbowl bet at +100, then bet their playoff opponents on the Moneyline. I happen to think NEP -4.5 was a very fair line. [/ QUOTE ] Didn't the line close at -5.5? |
#10
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Are NE even money to win the superbowl?
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] If the previous NE/Indy line is any indication, New England will be 85% to win at home vs Indy. [/ QUOTE ] The line was heavily in favor of the Pats. A tax I think people on here were calling it. The true line probably should have been Pats -1 or so, even possibly having the Colts favored. [/ QUOTE ] if you are doing this by DVOA, then Aaron S. disagreed. he thought the Pats were gonna win by 38-30, and Mike Tanier picked Pats 34-24. |
|
|