#11
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Re: JJ against a TAG
AKss, AsAx and KsKx are often 3bet preflop. We have odds to call vs a set. He could easily be getting freaky with the naked A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], AQ or even something like 9s9x. After thinking about this a bit more I think it's a fairly clear call.
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#12
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Re: JJ against a TAG
I'm pondering the idea of a flop check here. Thoughts?
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#13
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Re: JJ against a TAG
So call and river two pair like this?
Full Tilt Poker No Limit Holdem Ring game Blinds: $1/$2 6 players Converter Stack sizes: UTG: $116.20 UTG+1: $189.30 CO: $250.05 Button: $236.50 SB: $106.95 Hero: $646.65 Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is BB with J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] UTG folds, UTG+1 calls, <font color="#cc0000">CO raises to $10</font>, Button calls, SB folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $40</font>, 2 folds, Button calls. Flop: 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($93, 2 players) <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $76</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Button raises all-in $196.5</font>, Hero calls. Turn: 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($486, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $486) River: 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($486, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $486) Results: Final pot: $486 <font color="#red">Hero showed Js Jc</font> <font color="#red">Button showed 6h 7h</font> And I thought this was a donkcall too........ |
#14
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Re: JJ against a TAG
You're ahead of 67 on that flop.
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#15
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Re: JJ against a TAG
Yep, 50.91 to 49.09.
It was just the possibility of being up against a Q and a higher fd that worried me, but I realize that he's probably not calling here pf here with those hands. |
#16
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Re: JJ against a TAG
Crap, I read the results. But before I did some people were saying easy call. Are they saying this just because of our flush draw. I really feel we're behind here. And I feel we could easily be behind AA,KK w/ a spade. If he has QQQ our outs are tainted.
Sorry, I just wish Isura or A.P. could expand on their thinking. I suck at math so no way I'm calculating his range vs. my odds for a flush and all that mathematical blah, blah.... I don't have pokerstove. Are we really a fave to 67 here? I know it's damn close. I'd like to see it in writing for curiousities sake. |
#17
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Re: JJ against a TAG
[ QUOTE ]
Sorry, I just wish Isura or A.P. could expand on their thinking. I suck at math so no way I'm calculating his range vs. my odds for a flush and all that mathematical blah, blah.... [/ QUOTE ] Maybe spend some time with pokerstove etc, and think about the math. This is a basic spot where its useful to know your equity against tight, average, or loose ranges. |
#18
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Re: JJ against a TAG
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Sorry, I just wish Isura or A.P. could expand on their thinking. I suck at math so no way I'm calculating his range vs. my odds for a flush and all that mathematical blah, blah.... [/ QUOTE ] Maybe spend some time with pokerstove etc, and think about the math. This is a basic spot where its useful to know your equity against tight, average, or loose ranges. [/ QUOTE ] Yeah, your right. This is something I've been needing to do, but since I hate math have been putting it off (like the dentist [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]) |
#19
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Re: JJ against a TAG
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
990 games 0.005 secs 198,000 games/sec Board: Qs 6s 7s Dead: equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 50.909% 50.91% 00.00% 504 0.00 { JcJs } Hand 1: 49.091% 49.09% 00.00% 486 0.00 { 7h6h } EDIT: This hand range might be way off, I put it together quickly and have a nasty habit of forgetting about hands. Against this range we're easily priced in to call. Text results appended to pokerstove.txt 22,770 games 0.005 secs 4,554,000 games/sec Board: 6s 7s Qs Dead: equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 59.794% 59.79% 00.00% 13615 0.00 { AcAs, KcKs, 9c9s, 9d9s, 9h9s, 77-66, AsKc, AsKd, AsKh, AQo } Hand 1: 40.206% 40.21% 00.00% 9155 0.00 { JdJs } |
#20
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Re: JJ against a TAG
thnx FeNeF. I'm getting pokerstove right now. I want to see our equity vs his entire range here.
edit: ah, beat me to it [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img] |
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