($109) EPT sat. Lots of draws

[ryanghall]

Villain is 30/16 over 33 hands. Should I CR push the turn? Lead big and call a shove on turn? Surely I can't fold anywhere. Notice he overbet pot on flop, whatever that means.

PokerStars Tournament, Big Blind is t30 (9 handed) Converter on pregopoker.com

UTG (t1225)
UTG+1 (t1370)
MP1 (t1345)
MP2 (t1375)
MP3 (t1415)
CO (t2045)
Button (t1540)
Hero (t1345)
BB (t4675)

Preflop: Hero is in SB with Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
<font color="gray">UTG folds</font>, <font color="gray">UTG+1 folds</font>, <font color="gray">MP1 folds</font>, <font color="gray">MP2 folds</font>, MP3 calls t30, <font color="gray">CO folds</font>, <font color="gray">Button folds</font>, Hero calls t15, BB checks

Flop: (t90) 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">BB bets t120</font>, <font color="gray">MP3 folds</font>, Hero calls t120

Turn: (t330) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">BB bets t240</font>, Hero calls t240

River: (t810) 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets 350, intending to call a shove.

[registrar]

[ QUOTE ]
Notice he overbet pot on flop, whatever that means.



[/ QUOTE ]

Have you no idea? He's played a lot of hands.

I'd shove the river, if it means one thing, and I'd check-shove the turn if it means the other. I hate leading the river small in general because I think he'll generally call the whole lot with any holding given his stack and yours.

[ryanghall]

Maybe you're right but can't he have a lot of 2 pr type hands here that have trouble calling a river push?

Ryan

[registrar]

It looks very bluffy and he has a lot of chips and he's loose in general. I think it's more profitable (ie: he calls let's say 2x less if you bet 3x more) than betting small - and I think he just calls whatever bet with worse hands because a small lead looks like valuetown and the board is scary. I think he'll rarely shove with a set or two pair.

[KneeCo]

Yea, I'd push the river too. He's going to call the 950ish with like half the hands at least he's calling the 350 with in this spot.