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#21
07-27-2007, 10:56 AM
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Re: crockpot\'s tuesday picks
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] I'm not sure if Crock is adjusting enough. I have no idea how his system works but there must be some fundamental changes in how teams are/were performing now as opposed to then. This losing stretch has been long enough that I'm starting to wonder if the plays are simply not profitable right now. Variance can't be the only factor [/ QUOTE ] I'm spoke too soon. You're an idiot as well. [/ QUOTE ] weeeee internet bullies weeeeeee 
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#22
07-27-2007, 11:14 AM
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Re: crockpot\'s tuesday picks
well just look at his units wagered per game to see he probably has a smaller advantage now
lot of 1 unit, 1.5 unit plays and a couple 2 unit plays whereas before most of the picks were 2 units with a few 3 units in there
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#23
07-27-2007, 02:24 PM
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Re: crockpot\'s tuesday picks
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] I'm not sure if Crock is adjusting enough. I have no idea how his system works but there must be some fundamental changes in how teams are/were performing now as opposed to then. This losing stretch has been long enough that I'm starting to wonder if the plays are simply not profitable right now. Variance can't be the only factor [/ QUOTE ] I'm spoke too soon. You're an idiot as well. [/ QUOTE ] Drunk posting + Bad grammar + burn = Haha funnies
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#24
07-27-2007, 02:28 PM
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Re: crockpot\'s tuesday picks
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Again this isn't variance, [/ QUOTE ] Son, the long run is like pretty long, you know. [ QUOTE ] it is a market that is becoming more and more inline with the linemakers numbers. [/ QUOTE ] If that was the case, we wouldn't have any crockpot plays at all, much less multi-units plays. I vote variance and I don't know what's the use to pretend variance doesn't hit your personal sports betting heroes. [/ QUOTE ] Nobody is pretending variance doesn't 'hit their personal betting heroes' from what I can see. But the lines are MUCH sharper now than at the beginning of the season. If crockpot just thought it was variance he would be doing a huge disservice to himself by not adjusting. Sure, variance is going to be a factor, but that is going to be the case whether the lines have been adjusted or not.
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#25
07-27-2007, 02:32 PM
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Re: crockpot\'s tuesday picks
[ QUOTE ]
I don't even understand what's the problem with some of the forum's fauna (aka "regulars") if we discuss this, I mean, it's not like we're saying something about the bible. [/ QUOTE ] I would imagine that people would be more willing to defend their correct position of the lines adjusting than the Bible. Unless of course, you directly insulted the most important passages about covering thy spread (mmmmmmmm thigh spread). craig
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