Average Speed XVII Game Thread

[DustinG]

also re Supine:

i understand that when you look at supine just based on his actions alone he looks bad in spots

but on tone........

[Supine]

I think based on my actions I look very good in spots. Again, how am I not voting clown as a wolf? 2nd, would I kill fish so easily yesterday?

[Supine]

Also I would probably have killed dustin rather than bojtun as he was on SH.

[DustinG]

whats villagery isnt necessarily the fact you didn't vote

but its the fact that he said "I abstain"

he had done nothing (like Fnord D1) then that would be wolfy

but a first time wolf is going to actually say "i abstain" 1 minute before lynch and leave his partner up to a flip w/ someone hes suspected for a while? doesnt fit

[Supine]

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Dustin, if it can't be shortline, who would you lynch?

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dont ask me this question.

When I feel good about a wolf I go after him hard core. I didn't go into today feeling good about anybody, but I read and now feel great (especially with all of the posting in the last hour)

There is nobody else I would feel good about lynching right now.

And why are you asking me this?

[/ QUOTE ]
supine asking Dustin

An EXTREMELY weird question to be asking. It is even more weird when supine makes a huge post calling shorty a wolf after this. There is absolutely no reason to be asking the guy prosecuting shorty for alternatives when shortline is soon to be your main suspect (along with clowntable).

And the wording "can't be shortline" seems to be a slipup from a wolf who knows shorty is villa.

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I think this has been mentioned before as wolfy. Tbh I don't see why. I had the idea that clowntable and shortline were wolves, and wnated to see dustins opinion. I was hoping he would answer clowntable or monk.

[DustinG]

ok, I'm going to go sleep for hopefully at least 6 hours

do what you guys are doing

[Supine]

I don't really feel the need to defend myself anymore. I'm sure you can find several spots which are "strange" and for everyone of them I will be able to give you a logical answer. Coupled with my obviously villager-like actions, especially the last few days, one must be very blind to actually believe I'm the most likely wolf. Do remember this is my first long game, and thus some posts which you find "weird" may simply be due to my newbieness. I'm not familiar with the POG rules for a "wolfy" post.

[Supine]

fmx should switch. he is a villager. so is me and dustin.

I think this is a lock.

[fnord_too]

Bah, I cannot stay away, but I think this will get out everything on my mind:

I say these as definite, though they are not definite but based on some assumptions I feel decent about (i.e. if my assumptions are correct they are correct):

If supine is the wolf, he wins if we don't lynch him today.

If scott is the wolf, he wins if we lynch supine today.

I cannot win as the wolf.

If fmx or dustin is the wolf, they cannot lose (supine will never vote for dustin or fmx, dustin will never vote for fmx, and fmx will never vote for dustin are the assumptions this is based on).

Knowing what you cannot know (namely that I am village), the only way we can win is if we guess right on supine or scott today. I tend to think scott is village, and I tend to think the only person who can get lynched other than me is supine.

Ergo, it seems going supine gives the village the best chance of winning from my perspective.

supine

[fmxda]

In the first few days, there are plenty of wolves in 24/7 chat to coach you and to coordinate interactions with you.

Most wolves, new or not, would not vote clown there. Because once fish gets lynched to clear things, it'll get traced right back to your deciding vote.