400nl, AQs from the blinds

[herbertdotcom]

Villian in this hand is solid, and 22/16 when 5 or 6 handed (note that we are 3 handed.) He likely thinks me nitty. What is your action on the turn?

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ Hero (3 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

SB ($578.71)
Hero ($394)
Button ($409)

Preflop: Hero is BB with A, Q. SB posts a blind of $2.
Button raises to $16, 1 fold, Hero raises to $45, Button calls $29.

Flop: ($92) 5, 2, 7 [color=#0000FF](2 players)</font>
Hero bets $67, Button calls $67.

Turn: ($226) Q (2 players)

[Habib Marwan]

Either lead out for around 175 or plan to check raise all in.

[Oxy]

[ QUOTE ]
Either lead out for around 175 or plan to check raise all in.

[/ QUOTE ]

(I'm new to SHNL so bear with me)

If Villain thinks he's a bit of a nit, is he only calling with a set here, or is 88-JJ enough of a possibility for a c/r line (that I prefer to leading for 175 because I think we're only getting called by a set) to be profitable?

[Zag]

Certainly the best turn card you could have hoped for. Ace might have given him two pair, but the queen seems perfectly safe.

If, say, a Jh had been the turn card, some percentage of the time you would have made a second continuation bet, right? (Hopefully not a big percentage, but not zero either. My gut says about 15-20% but I haven't done the math.) OK, with this hand, something like 90% of the time, make the same bet that you would have made as a second barrel continuation (and plan to go all in on the river). The other 10% go for the check-raise all in.

If he has a set, he gets your chips. But three-handed, TPTK is a good hand often enough to put some money behind it.

[Gugel]

Hmm...the question is do you want to build a big pot with your hand? Your hand is pretty strong, but I wouldn't want to go all-in with it. I would check the turn. If he bets, I call. If he checks, I value-bet out on the river. If he pushes on the river after I bet, I would fold 70% of the time.

[tcorbin16]

Yea good turn card for you. Lead out again or CR all in.

[axioma]

i think attempting a CR here sucks.

just go ahead and bet again, 185 or something.

[rebuyboy]

[ QUOTE ]
Hmm...the question is do you want to build a big pot with your hand? Your hand is pretty strong, but I wouldn't want to go all-in with it. I would check the turn. If he bets, I call. If he checks, I value-bet out on the river. If he pushes on the river after I bet, I would fold 70% of the time.

[/ QUOTE ]
Sure at nitty full ring games getting your stack in with TPTK would be bad but this is 3 handed and TPTK is a very strong hand here. I would be prepared to go to the felt. I'd bet 150-200 here and push river.

[mike0292]

definitely check.

[PatInTheHat]

I like a check here also. Hes only calling you when your beat.