FT200 It smells like I'm beat, it looks like I'm beat. Am I beat?

[Nielsio]

Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $1/$2 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

SB: $177.35
BB: $253.75
UTG: $197.40
MP: $200.00
Hero (CO): $204.00
BTN: $149.45

Preflop: Hero is dealt K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (6 Players)
<font color="red">UTG raises to $6.00</font>, MP folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $23.00</font>, 3 folds, UTG calls $17.00

Flop: ($49) 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
UTG checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($49) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">UTG bets $24.00</font>, Hero calls $24.00

River: ($97) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">UTG bets all-in for $150.40</font>, Hero ..?



UTG is 29/7/2/301 ; 4% 3-bet.

Notes:
"attacks weakness and weird lines

when he gets there on slim outs after bluffing, he doesnt push but leaves only a little behind for the opponent"

[shpanko]

fold 60%, call 40%.

You said he likes to attack weakness and I don't see a ton of Ax hands he's raise/calling from UTG (maybe AK from this guy).

His river bet rules out TT and he'll never have 7x so it's whether or not he has Ax. I don't mind a call, especially given reads.

[SinkRox]

How does his river bet rule out TT? That's what it looks like to me: TT or AK either wanting a call from Ax or he's turning his JJ-KK into a bluff which is unlikely imo.

Niels I wouldnt put much weight on the bluffing note if it was just noted from one occasion.

This sucks but I probably fold here.

[thac]

[ QUOTE ]
How does his river bet rule out TT? That's what it looks like to me: TT or AK either wanting a call from Ax or he's turning his JJ-KK into a bluff which is unlikely imo.

Niels I wouldnt put much weight on the bluffing note if it was just noted from one occasion.

This sucks but I probably fold here.

[/ QUOTE ]

Dude, reading comprehension.

[sightless]

min raise turn ):

[shpanko]

A river bet from TT would be incredible range merging a la AEJones

[SinkRox]

AH, I didnt see river paired board givng Ax higher boat

[SirFelixCat]

I really have a hard time seeing how we CAN'T call this river. Villain sure can't have TT or 7x here. And why the hell is he overshoving the river if he had Ax?!?

Maybe I'm being a payoff monkey, but couple this with reads and I think this is a clear call....

Am I nuts?

[freedom18]

only hand u lose to is AT come on...

[Xylem]

Ure beat... Fold 75% call 25%