give up or fire again?

[Unknown Soldier]

villains 37/17/1.8 over 200ish datamined hands, never played against him before. wtsd is 30


Party Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $3/$6 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

SB: $920.45
BB: $79.35
UTG: $602.40
MP: $87.00
CO: $696.25
US (BTN): $600.00

Preflop: US is dealt 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (6 Players)
UTG calls $6.00, 2 folds, <font color="red">US raises to $27.00</font>, 2 folds, UTG calls $21.00

Flop: ($63) 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
UTG checks, <font color="red">US bets $48.00</font>, UTG calls $48.00

Turn: ($159) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
UTG checks, <font color="red">US bets $111.00</font>, UTG calls $111.00

River: ($381) 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
UTG checks, US ??

[ArturiusX]

He won't fold a K, we're hoping for 86 type stuff which I don't think makes up enough of his range, and he could easily have a T.

[tozzy]

why would we want him to fld the 86 type stuff?
the 8 makes it a pretty easy cb and id say his range is heavily weigthed towards kings which he obv never folds.

[ArturiusX]

Woops, missed we had a pair. But my point still stands [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

[Unknown Soldier]

its just that the 8 put 4 to a straight out which made me tempted

[Subfallen]

He has two pair here um, 85% of the time at least, don't think he's folding.

[tannenj]

i wouldn't bluff the river. i don't love firing the turn either.

[Nick Royale]

I'm usually not betting the turn.

[ArturiusX]

I like the turn shot, I think he releases a lot of mid pairs, and I think he's a low risk for a c/r, bluff or made hand.

[Unknown Soldier]

i bet the turn because i figured my equity which is pretty high made up for the lack of FE whish isnt huge, but still there. He seemed pretty stationy so i dont think hes raising too often.