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  #11  
Old 08-07-2007, 06:06 PM
GoodCallYouWin GoodCallYouWin is offline
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Default Re: China threatens \'nuclear option\' of dollar sales

Well I don't think I implied that at all; what I said was in response to the characterization of China as a mercantilist "We'll bomb your economy" type, when in reality they are simply trying to defend themselves from being subject to trade sanctions.
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  #12  
Old 08-07-2007, 06:12 PM
ConstantineX ConstantineX is offline
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Default Re: China threatens \'nuclear option\' of dollar sales

Yeah, they'd devalue their holdings, but they aren't exactly worried about future streams of revenue right now (11.9% Q2 GDP growth!!!, diversified export growth). Remember also even if China can only get like 90 cents on the dollar for the T bills, the threat is more political than economic and the ensuing reality of a recession, maybe even depression is sure to stay Capitol Hill's hand right now. The economic MAD.
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  #13  
Old 08-07-2007, 06:16 PM
The once and future king The once and future king is offline
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Default Re: China threatens \'nuclear option\' of dollar sales

At some point China's internal market is going to mature. Then it wont need to exports so much to keep its economy going.

Then it can exercise this option at its leisure.
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  #14  
Old 08-07-2007, 07:06 PM
Bill Murphy Bill Murphy is offline
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Default Re: China threatens \'nuclear option\' of dollar sales

Does Trump's Law apply here at all (I'm terrible at economics): "If you owe the bank a million dollars and can't pay, you have a problem. If you owe the bank a billion dollars and can't pay, the bank has a problem."
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  #15  
Old 08-07-2007, 07:16 PM
jcx jcx is offline
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Default Re: China threatens \'nuclear option\' of dollar sales

[ QUOTE ]
At some point China's internal market is going to mature. Then it wont need to exports so much to keep its economy going.

Then it can exercise this option at its leisure.

[/ QUOTE ]

Not necessarily true. Japan's economy is certainly mature and they are still heavily dependent on exports. The U.S. & China are going to be dysfunctionally co-dependent for the forseeable future.
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  #16  
Old 08-07-2007, 07:21 PM
The once and future king The once and future king is offline
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Default Re: China threatens \'nuclear option\' of dollar sales

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
At some point China's internal market is going to mature. Then it wont need to exports so much to keep its economy going.

Then it can exercise this option at its leisure.

[/ QUOTE ]

Not necessarily true. Japan's economy is certainly mature and they are still heavily dependent on exports. The U.S. & China are going to be dysfunctionally co-dependent for the forseeable future.

[/ QUOTE ]

Does Japan have an internal market of 1 billion people? 1 in every 6 people on earth are part of China's internal economy. China could have the largest economy in the world and never export a thing.
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  #17  
Old 08-07-2007, 10:17 PM
lehighguy lehighguy is offline
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Default Re: China threatens \'nuclear option\' of dollar sales

China won't do anything to slow economic growth. It is part of thier contract with thier people not ask for democracy.
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  #18  
Old 08-08-2007, 12:09 AM
Copernicus Copernicus is offline
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Default Re: China threatens \'nuclear option\' of dollar sales

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
At some point China's internal market is going to mature. Then it wont need to exports so much to keep its economy going.

Then it can exercise this option at its leisure.

[/ QUOTE ]

Not necessarily true. Japan's economy is certainly mature and they are still heavily dependent on exports. The U.S. & China are going to be dysfunctionally co-dependent for the forseeable future.

[/ QUOTE ]

Does Japan have an internal market of 1 billion people? 1 in every 6 people on earth are part of China's internal economy. China could have the largest economy in the world and never export a thing.

[/ QUOTE ]

And why is it that they don't already, and if they lose the US market due to their own obstinance, what makes you think they wont return to the policies that put them so far behind to start with?
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  #19  
Old 08-08-2007, 02:20 AM
govman6767 govman6767 is offline
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Default Re: China threatens \'nuclear option\' of dollar sales

[ QUOTE ]
You can't play hardball against someone who's got you by the balls.

[/ QUOTE ]

QFT
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  #20  
Old 08-08-2007, 11:23 AM
MrMon MrMon is offline
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Default Re: China threatens \'nuclear option\' of dollar sales

Why am I reminded of this scene from Blazing Saddles?



No way the filter allows the dialgoue through on this one.
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