#12
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Re: TT w/ PF raisers on a mostly harmless board
GRUNCH
I think I would c/3b this just about never in game time situation. Next step is to think through if it is theoretically correct... If BB is a decently savvy player, he might be c/r'ing his flush draw on the flop to buy outs. Since he cold-called pf (and seems relatively nitty pf, and raise-or-fold type post flop - albeit based on limited hands), I think he's more likely to c/r a made hand than a draw on the flop. So I'd assume we are more likely to be ahead than behind. I'd furhter assume we're going to pay 3BB to win a pot of 8-10BB to call this down. This meanns we need to be ahead 30-40% of the time. Are we? Well, maybe, but we also have avoid being drawn out. Finally, we're not closing the action by calling, so I'd be that much tighter. Point is, I wouldn't even call the flop, much less 3b it. |
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