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#1
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Re: Stars $50 - KK reraise vs terrible board
If you bet $12 on the flop and he shoves you need 27.77% equity to call. So he needs AQ or worse 1.1% of the time to b/c. Adding in if he'll call KQo then it's an easy call because KQo felts this flop.
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#2
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Re: Stars $50 - KK reraise vs terrible board
[ QUOTE ]
If you bet $12 on the flop and he shoves you need 27.77% equity to call. So he needs AQ or worse 1.1% of the time to b/c. Adding in if he'll call KQo then it's an easy call because KQo felts this flop. [/ QUOTE ] I understand we'll have pot odds, but why do we want to commit as a big dog? FE doesn't justify it. We're betting $37 to win $15 and he's shoving all but a few hands in his range, (AQ, 99, possibly AA but he prob four-bets all-in pre). Btw, I think it's nonstandard to put KQ offsuit in an unknown's range after they call a reraise. |
#3
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Re: Stars $50 - KK reraise vs terrible board
I get your math, but the question is how much FE do i have here? I'm getting $43 in as a 3-1 dog, but is this a bet that i want to take here? I can just check/fold and avoid this bet entirely. I think it depends on how likely i feel he's in there with garbage. If i think there's a good chance he's in with 88 or AJ or some crap, then i bet/call.
But against an unknown, since it's close, I don't think a CF is horrible is it? |
#4
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Re: Stars $50 - KK reraise vs terrible board
[ QUOTE ]
I get your math, but the question is how much FE do i have here? I'm getting $43 in as a 3-1 dog, but is this a bet that i want to take here? I can just check/fold and avoid this bet entirely. I think it depends on how likely i feel he's in there with garbage. If i think there's a good chance he's in with 88 or AJ or some crap, then i bet/call. [/ QUOTE ] $36 total would be going in postflop only $24 or so as a 3/1 dog(which is probably the low end) where you will get 3/1 on a call so its fine the first $12 has different EV, and likely at these stakes is immediately +EV, if you get folds >45% of the time its +EV in a vaccuum(any2cards actually) nl50 players play bad, and typically its by calling too much, so a lot of small pairs, suited connector hands can call RRs and just give up, or make a bad call with a 1pair hand where you have a lot of ev |
#5
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Re: Stars $50 - KK reraise vs terrible board
[ QUOTE ]
$36 total would be going in postflop only $24 or so as a 3/1 dog(which is probably the low end) where you will get 3/1 on a call so its fine the first $12 has different EV, and likely at these stakes is immediately +EV, if you get folds >45% of the time its +EV in a vaccuum(any2cards actually) [/ QUOTE ]Thanks Mr. set, I was about to post the same thing. |
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