[NL200] AA with coldcalling small blind => time to lay`em down ?

[LOwrestling2001]

I still say fold, because of villain specifically. However, pokerstove says we are good to get the money in here.

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

24,750 games 0.005 secs 4,950,000 games/sec

Board: 3s 4s 5d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 50.448% 48.73% 01.72% 12060 426.00 { AdAh }
Hand 1: 49.552% 47.83% 01.72% 11838 426.00 { QQ-JJ, 55-33, 76s }

[bilbo-san]

So, villain never has the NFD here?

Because the NFD has, like, a billion outs vs. even KK. You'd be crazy not to play the NFD aggressively. I might also include 66 as it has 10 outs vs. overpairs.

Hard for me to believe that his range is not more like this:

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

29,700 games 0.001 secs 29,700,000 games/sec

Board: 3s 4s 5d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 59.409% 57.31% 02.10% 17022 622.50 { AdAh }
Hand 1: 40.591% 38.49% 02.10% 11433 622.50 { QQ-JJ, 66-33, AsKs, AsQs, AsJs }


And you can't give him a straight here. If he can have 7s6s, than he can have all kinds of other flush draws+overs as well and that increases his range and our equity.

He may be nitty, but he's probably not going to play a big draw passively. And you have more equity than usual vs. a set here with your gutshot.

If his range is pure PPs pre-flop and he isn't going to give you action with JJ/QQ then check behind on the flop. Hard to believe anyone is that nitty, but w/e, you guys know him.