NL50: QQ in RR pot on K high flop

[barryc83]

Villain in this hand is TheHoboKing and I have him at 16/14/2.5 over 270 hands. Flop check is pretty standard, I'll check AK here a decent bit too. I really dont see a reason to bet the turn, if he has JJ/TT hes probably folding. After he checks the turn he has 1 of 3 hands IMO, TT/JJ/AK. Now on the river I probably make a valuebet if checked to, but what is he betting here? The only hand I can see this guy bet is AK, I think he's betting JJ/TT like never in that spot. Should I find a fold on the river? I played my hand very weakly, but his river bet is def for value IMO and I think he only bets with a K.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)


SB ($50.25)
BB ($51.95)
UTG ($101.80
MP ($59.35)
Hero ($68.65)
Button ($73.50)

Preflop: Hero is CO with Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to $2</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $7</font>, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, UTG calls $5.

Flop: ($14.75) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG checks, Hero checks.

Turn: ($14.75) 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG checks, Hero checks.

River: ($14.75) 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">UTG bets $9</font>, Hero ???.

[Nick C]

It sounds like you've got this one worked out already, actually [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img].

I will say that inducing a bluff and then folding once the bet comes (and in this case it's not even that big of a bet) kind of seems inconsistent, but if you're confident in your read, you should probably go with it.

[Supwithbates]

I lead turn, you're getting value out of both TT and JJ. I don't see many people slowplay AK like this but if you have a read I trust your judgment. Just understand that without a read folding river is nitty and exploitable, especially if you're 3betting JJ/TT preflop here too.

[Genz]

I like the check behind on the turn, because you avoid a c/r by an aggressive player. I don't know why you think that he wouldn't bet TT, JJ or even 99, 88 here. But I wasn't there. So if you think you know the player good enough, go with your read, obv.