SLOW GAME: Welcome to the Bay Area (Werewolf, Northern CA edition)

[metsandfinsfan]

see im trying to decide if clown and roundtower are wolves together and clown is trying to buy him a day

although that would be ballsy -- cause clown knows he has to get lynched in the next few days if he's not eaten so i guess it is unlikely

[metsandfinsfan]

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so exploitable; say mets/nich/soah are all villagers; they eat u...we follow ur advice and waste 3 lynches...if they thought we'd do that, they'd have to eat u tonite if u are wrong

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If they eat me and I turn up seer: lynch from the 3 and get one wolf for sure
If they eat me and I turn up villager: Ignore all I said

How is this exploitable again?

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cause taking 3 days to get a wolf is dumb ... well unless we get one today as well

[Nicholasp27]

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I think Nichp is the last one.


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you...chose...poorly

[Nicholasp27]

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so exploitable; say mets/nich/soah are all villagers; they eat u...we follow ur advice and waste 3 lynches...if they thought we'd do that, they'd have to eat u tonite if u are wrong

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If they eat me and I turn up seer: lynch from the 3 and get one wolf for sure
If they eat me and I turn up villager: Ignore all I said

How is this exploitable again?

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that's not what u said...obv if u show up seer then we'll lynch from that trio...but u said if not seer there is a high probability of a wolf in there (wrong) and if wolves eat u because u luckboxed a wolf in that trio then we have the game wrapped up...u were saying that if u are nked as villager, lynch those 3...again exploitable

obv if u are seer then there is def a wolf in that trio

[clowntable]

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so exploitable; say mets/nich/soah are all villagers; they eat u...we follow ur advice and waste 3 lynches...if they thought we'd do that, they'd have to eat u tonite if u are wrong

[/ QUOTE ]
If they eat me and I turn up seer: lynch from the 3 and get one wolf for sure
If they eat me and I turn up villager: Ignore all I said

How is this exploitable again?

[/ QUOTE ]

that's not what u said...obv if u show up seer then we'll lynch from that trio...but u said if not seer there is a high probability of a wolf in there (wrong) and if wolves eat u because u luckboxed a wolf in that trio then we have the game wrapped up...u were saying that if u are nked as villager, lynch those 3...again exploitable

obv if u are seer then there is def a wolf in that trio

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Lol, read the post. If I'm not the seer there's a high probability that I'll get eaten because I put 3 people in that list. Chance of 1/3 = wolf > chance of one wolf on the list being right when faking.

[Nicholasp27]

again, u are saying if u are nked as villager, then we should lynch those 3 because high probability of there being a wolf in the trio (incorrect)

so, the wolf team could eat u tonite just so we waste 3 lynches on those 3 the next 3 days...if they believed we would actually lynch those 3 based on ur death...that's why it's exploitable

luckily, village won't let them exploit it, as they won't blindly lynch those 3 if u die tonite

[metsandfinsfan]

what if we just lynch clown today and see what he comes up.

not saying who your villager is is also quite awful

[Nicholasp27]

because round is best wolf candidate

clown can be looked at tomorrow

[clowntable]

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again, u are saying if u are nked as villager, then we should lynch those 3 because high probability of there being a wolf in the trio (incorrect)

so, the wolf team could eat u tonite just so we waste 3 lynches on those 3 the next 3 days...if they believed we would actually lynch those 3 based on ur death...that's why it's exploitable

luckily, village won't let them exploit it, as they won't blindly lynch those 3 if u die tonite

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I am not saying if I am NKed as a villager you should kill from that list.
In the meantime, stop arguing with what I did there and contribute to the thread. I'd like to see you do some analysis.

[Nicholasp27]

well that's what it sounded like in ur original post AND in ur rebuttal post, where u talked about ur odds of being right being high

my analysis was posted earlier today: roundtower is a wolf

i'll re-evaluate tomorrow after his role, and possibly a seer coming out, is known