How bad is this call? (draws on the flop)

[MTBlue]

flop call is alright, the second one is more marginal.

You've got like 40% equity always against a two pair or better range, if you include pot odds, its a close call.

[doppelganger]

[ QUOTE ]
flop call is alright, the second one is more marginal.

You've got like 40% equity always against a two pair or better range, if you include pot odds, its a close call.

[/ QUOTE ]

Not quite:

Board: Td Kh Qh
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 35.749% 35.14% 00.61% 1774406 30783.33 { Th9h }
Hand 1: 32.125% 28.59% 03.54% 1443573 178620.33 { QQ+, AJs+, KQs, KTs, QTs, J9s, AJo+, KQo, KTo, QTo, J9o }
Hand 2: 32.125% 28.59% 03.54% 1443573 178620.33 { QQ+, AJs+, KQs, KTs, QTs, J9s, AJo+, KQo, KTo, QTo, J9o }


Stove indicates that we have 35% equity but look at the stack sizes and pot size. At the time of call the pot is $76.40 (the amount hero can win since BB covers us) and hero is calling $48.55, so he's getting 1.57:1. With 35% equity we need 1.86:1 to make a call profitable.

[MTBlue]

That range assumes both players are completely rational. I think you will be surprised at the variety of hands the shorty shows up with. Its either a $3.90 mistake or a $1.00 win, either way its not a huge mistake.

[Reefypoopoo]

meh prob marginal