NL25 line check: set on ...censored... board

[WantToLearn]

Is this ok?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (8 handed) Poker Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Hero ($25)
MP2 ($16.10)
CO ($31)
Button ($7.20)
SB ($17.60)
BB ($12.25)
UTG ($31.25)
UTG+1 ($14.35)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $1</font>, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, SB calls $0.90, BB calls $0.75.

Flop: ($3) J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $2.25</font>, SB folds, BB calls $2.25.

Turn: ($7.50) Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">BB bets $4</font>, Hero calls $4.

<font color="blue"> ~20% chance to fill up means he has to be bluffing only ~8% of the time, and that is taking rake into account. Call ok?</font>

River: ($15.50) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">BB bets $5 (All-In)</font>, Hero folds.

<font color="blue"> I´m not sure if I got the maths right, but I found that I should call if he does NOT have an ace &gt;=28,5% of the time, given that I can only split the pot. Good fold? </font>

Final Pot: $10.50

[CaptVimes]

Bet more on the flop, push turn.

As played, I would have a hard time not calling the river. The only hand with an Ace that I can put him on is AQ, but he's far more likely to have two pair with the other broadway cards.

[ship_it_trebek]

Shove turn with his stack size. It's possible enough that he paired his Q with his OESD or some othre garbage hand that I don't mind getting it in.

[Abdullaev]

[ QUOTE ]
Call ok?

[/ QUOTE ]

I think calling the turn is the right play.

[ QUOTE ]
Good fold?

[/ QUOTE ]

BB's river push is only one-third of the pot. I think folding this river is a mistake.

[SayGN]

How likely is it that villain thinks you have an ace? The more likely he is to think you have an ace, the less likely he is to slide without one.

[WantToLearn]

As for pushing the turn: you really think he has something like two-pair more than a straight? Or is it a combination of getting value if ahead and filling up if behind? How´s the maths going here?

[TheBad]

I think this is a good spot to overbet the Flop BIG. Like 4$. Call River all day long. To bad you can´t reraise him for another 25$ to let him taste his own medicine.

[WantToLearn]

[ QUOTE ]
Call River all day long. To bad you can´t reraise him for another 25$ to let him taste his own medicine.

[/ QUOTE ]

If he doesn´t have the Ace, it´s a split pot?

[TheBad]

Yes -&gt; But that will be a very difficult call for him.

[WantToLearn]

All right. I understand the medicine thing now. [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img]