bottom set facing river bet on a dry board!

[Izo Fazo]

Villian is porkandb, a decent tag 18/14/2.5. Hero is tag, a bit on the nitty site. Whats your move? Call or raise (or even fold)?

Absolute Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $1/$2
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $166.58
UTG+1: $310.30
Izo Fazo: $252.75
Button: $202.60
SB: $74.59
BB: $101.60

Pre-flop: (6 players) Izo Fazo is CO with 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
UTG folds, <font color="#cc0000">UTG+1 raises to $8</font>, Izo Fazo calls, 3 folds.

Flop: Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($19, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">UTG+1 bets $14</font>, Izo Fazo calls.

Turn: 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($47, 2 players)
UTG+1 checks, <font color="#cc0000">Izo Fazo bets $32</font>, UTG+1 calls.

River: K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($111, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">UTG+1 bets $74</font> Hero [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]

[blah-blah-blah]

villian might have AA (unlikely IMO), AdKd, and of course KQ. I think if he had a set before the river he's more likely to go for a c/rai on the river after you showed aggression on the turn when he checked, so I'm more likely to think KQ, KK, and AdKd. I guess that means I'm raising.

[rapidacid]

Raise all day.

[fitnessfreak]

this is a mandatory shove. i pretty much agree with blah's hand range for the villian. now puuuuush!

[blah-blah-blah]

also you should never even think of folding after you hit your set on this type of board.

[wrkingtobegreat]

*grunch* Poosh. Poosh. Poooooosh. This is a cooler if we lose. We are way ahead of villains range. If he has queens or kings we are destined to lose this hand. On a hand when you have a set, and you can only lose to another set, you want YOUR STACK IN THE POT.

[gimmetheloot]

lol fold fold!!

jesus what an awful thread.

[terp]

shove river