WCOOP 2nd Chance Hand

[ASPoker8]

PokerStars Game #12057987622: Tournament #70002001, $200+$15 Hold'em No Limit - Level II (15/30) - 2007/09/14 - 17:39:22 (ET)
Table '70002001 58' 6-max Seat #5 is the button
Seat 1: erikzamboer (7335 in chips)
Seat 2: Dannysan (2850 in chips)
Seat 3: arulx (1375 in chips) is sitting out
Seat 4: LockDown120 (3480 in chips)
Seat 5: ASPoker8 (3180 in chips)
Seat 6: AAqueens22 (3205 in chips)
AAqueens22: posts small blind 15
erikzamboer: posts big blind 30
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to ASPoker8 [Jd 8d]
Dannysan: folds
arulx: folds
LockDown120: raises 60 to 90
arulx is connected
ASPoker8: calls 90
arulx has returned
AAqueens22: folds
erikzamboer: folds
*** FLOP *** [8c 6d 5h]
LockDown120: bets 210
ASPoker8: calls 210
*** TURN *** [8c 6d 5h] [2d]
LockDown120: bets 990
ASPoker8: folds ?

[ZJ123]

call and river a Diamond, ldo.

[Chipchucker5]

Any reads? I could see shoving being good if you think he'll fold like 99 or TT.

[ASPoker8]

i dont think hes ever folding

[AntonHeat]

[ QUOTE ]
i dont think hes ever folding

[/ QUOTE ]

[Chipchucker5]

[ QUOTE ]
i dont think hes ever folding

[/ QUOTE ]

Then I guess you have to let it go, even though it looks so pretty.

[mikeJ]

Give him a range then provide some assumptions about what he's going to do on diamond/J/8 rivers w/ those hands.

If you think his entire range is overpairs, then you should be calling this turn bet, because he is pretty much always paying you off on J/8/diamond river. However, if you add possibility AQdd/AKdd/other diamonds draws bigger than you/set/straight, your hand carries a little bit of reverse implied.

I'm pretty tired, but I might try to crank out some math later.

@ a glance, i would lean towards call, fold any river UI'd.