Is betting the river here a spew or value ?

[Tugg]

Speaking of FPS. A river bet here may get the Button to bluff raise the bb out of a better hand.Even if this only happens a very small percentage of the time,its huge for you.

[Mitke]

* g *

Well, we sure aren't getting any better hands to fold on the river. We probably beat BTN here so there's value to get from him or not if he was on a draw.

BB could have slowplayed a 65 or peeled with JT (maybe T6) that got scared of the board pairing.

Really tricky T9 could also play like this. The river shutdown could also be with TT-JJ vary of overcards on the flop. Or 87 (and maybe 74). I don't think 55-66 would play this way.

Hero loses:
65/JT = 32 combos
T6 = 16 (discount)
(T9 or other 9x hands being fancy?)

Hero wins:
87 = 9
74 = 9 (discount)
TT = 6
JJ = 6


Hm.. I guess I still want to show my hand down. I check and overcall crying if BTN bets and BB calls (for pot size).

IMO based on your read we couldn't b/f if BTN raises and we end up HU vs him.